Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows Otzma Yehudit hovering in a narrow range amid bloc volatility and right-wing fragmentation, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over seat totals. Itamar Ben-Gvir's party has drawn support from Likud voters through its independent appeal on security and national identity issues, recently strengthened by the addition of Likud MK Tally Gotliv to its slate. Netanyahu's unsuccessful push for a merger with Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionism has kept Otzma separate, avoiding potential vote waste below the 3.25% threshold while highlighting risks of right-wing splits. Ongoing surveys place the party between roughly six and nine seats depending on turnout and competition from newer lists, with developments like list finalization deadlines and shifts in pro-Netanyahu coalition sentiment poised to influence final positioning before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni in Israele: Otzma # di seggi?
Elezioni in Israele: Otzma # di seggi?
6-7 38%
4-5 37%
<4 37%
10+ 35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<4
37%
4-5
37%
6-7
38%
8-9
33%
10+
35%
6-7 38%
4-5 37%
<4 37%
10+ 35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<4
$0 Vol.
37%
4-5
$0 Vol.
37%
6-7
$0 Vol.
38%
8-9
$0 Vol.
33%
10+
$0 Vol.
35%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows Otzma Yehudit hovering in a narrow range amid bloc volatility and right-wing fragmentation, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over seat totals. Itamar Ben-Gvir's party has drawn support from Likud voters through its independent appeal on security and national identity issues, recently strengthened by the addition of Likud MK Tally Gotliv to its slate. Netanyahu's unsuccessful push for a merger with Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionism has kept Otzma separate, avoiding potential vote waste below the 3.25% threshold while highlighting risks of right-wing splits. Ongoing surveys place the party between roughly six and nine seats depending on turnout and competition from newer lists, with developments like list finalization deadlines and shifts in pro-Netanyahu coalition sentiment poised to influence final positioning before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows Otzma Yehudit hovering in a narrow range amid bloc volatility and right-wing fragmentation, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over seat totals. Itamar Ben-Gvir's party has drawn support from Likud voters through its independent appeal on security and national identity issues, recently strengthened by the addition of Likud MK Tally Gotliv to its slate. Netanyahu's unsuccessful push for a merger with Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionism has kept Otzma separate, avoiding potential vote waste below the 3.25% threshold while highlighting risks of right-wing splits. Ongoing surveys place the party between roughly six and nine seats depending on turnout and competition from newer lists, with developments like list finalization deadlines and shifts in pro-Netanyahu coalition sentiment poised to influence final positioning before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows Otzma Yehudit hovering in a narrow range amid bloc volatility and right-wing fragmentation, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over seat totals. Itamar Ben-Gvir's party has drawn support from Likud voters through its independent appeal on security and national identity issues, recently strengthened by the addition of Likud MK Tally Gotliv to its slate. Netanyahu's unsuccessful push for a merger with Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionism has kept Otzma separate, avoiding potential vote waste below the 3.25% threshold while highlighting risks of right-wing splits. Ongoing surveys place the party between roughly six and nine seats depending on turnout and competition from newer lists, with developments like list finalization deadlines and shifts in pro-Netanyahu coalition sentiment poised to influence final positioning before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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