Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–24 seat range across multiple surveys, reflecting voter fatigue with the party's long tenure, lingering effects from the judicial overhaul, and post-October 7 security concerns. The just-completed Likud primaries, marked by low turnout and internal list disputes, have not shifted these figures materially. Trader consensus remains split between the 20–24 and 25–29 bands because neither Netanyahu's coalition nor the main opposition groupings have consolidated a decisive advantage, with results hinging on turnout among religious and centrist blocs plus any late security or economic developments. A major escalation or de-escalation in regional tensions, or clearer coalition arithmetic closer to election day, could separate the leading ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato20-24 33%
25-29 29%
<20 18.0%
30-34 18%
$102,374 Vol.
$102,374 Vol.
26 ott 2026
<20
18%
20-24
33%
25-29
29%
30-34
18%
35+
5%
20-24 33%
25-29 29%
<20 18.0%
30-34 18%
$102,374 Vol.
$102,374 Vol.
26 ott 2026
<20
$33,123 Vol.
18%
20-24
$15,595 Vol.
33%
25-29
$24,708 Vol.
29%
30-34
$19,700 Vol.
18%
35+
$9,249 Vol.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–24 seat range across multiple surveys, reflecting voter fatigue with the party's long tenure, lingering effects from the judicial overhaul, and post-October 7 security concerns. The just-completed Likud primaries, marked by low turnout and internal list disputes, have not shifted these figures materially. Trader consensus remains split between the 20–24 and 25–29 bands because neither Netanyahu's coalition nor the main opposition groupings have consolidated a decisive advantage, with results hinging on turnout among religious and centrist blocs plus any late security or economic developments. A major escalation or de-escalation in regional tensions, or clearer coalition arithmetic closer to election day, could separate the leading ranges.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$102,374Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–24 seat range across multiple surveys, reflecting voter fatigue with the party's long tenure, lingering effects from the judicial overhaul, and post-October 7 security concerns. The just-completed Likud primaries, marked by low turnout and internal list disputes, have not shifted these figures materially. Trader consensus remains split between the 20–24 and 25–29 bands because neither Netanyahu's coalition nor the main opposition groupings have consolidated a decisive advantage, with results hinging on turnout among religious and centrist blocs plus any late security or economic developments. A major escalation or de-escalation in regional tensions, or clearer coalition arithmetic closer to election day, could separate the leading ranges.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$102,374Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–24 seat range across multiple surveys, reflecting voter fatigue with the party's long tenure, lingering effects from the judicial overhaul, and post-October 7 security concerns. The just-completed Likud primaries, marked by low turnout and internal list disputes, have not shifted these figures materially. Trader consensus remains split between the 20–24 and 25–29 bands because neither Netanyahu's coalition nor the main opposition groupings have consolidated a decisive advantage, with results hinging on turnout among religious and centrist blocs plus any late security or economic developments. A major escalation or de-escalation in regional tensions, or clearer coalition arithmetic closer to election day, could separate the leading ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti