Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) fluctuating between roughly 6 and 10 seats, reflecting volatility in Arab voter mobilization and competition with the separate Ra'am list. The alliance's August 2026 formation after extended negotiations over candidate placement has boosted combined Arab representation in some surveys, yet persistent bloc arithmetic—where neither the Netanyahu-aligned nor opposition Zionist parties reach a 61-seat majority—keeps outcomes sensitive to turnout shifts and small-party threshold crossings. Recent surveys from outlets like Channel 13, Maariv, and Kantar illustrate this narrow spread, with trader consensus spread evenly across bins as no single factor has produced sustained separation. Late developments such as candidate controversies, intensified get-out-the-vote efforts among Arab communities, or broader swings in the Likud-Yashar contest could still alter the final tally before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato6-7 41%
10-11 26%
8-9 25%
12+ 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<6
24%
6-7
52%
8-9
25%
10-11
26%
12+
24%
6-7 41%
10-11 26%
8-9 25%
12+ 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<6
$0 Vol.
24%
6-7
$10 Vol.
52%
8-9
$0 Vol.
25%
10-11
$0 Vol.
26%
12+
$0 Vol.
24%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) fluctuating between roughly 6 and 10 seats, reflecting volatility in Arab voter mobilization and competition with the separate Ra'am list. The alliance's August 2026 formation after extended negotiations over candidate placement has boosted combined Arab representation in some surveys, yet persistent bloc arithmetic—where neither the Netanyahu-aligned nor opposition Zionist parties reach a 61-seat majority—keeps outcomes sensitive to turnout shifts and small-party threshold crossings. Recent surveys from outlets like Channel 13, Maariv, and Kantar illustrate this narrow spread, with trader consensus spread evenly across bins as no single factor has produced sustained separation. Late developments such as candidate controversies, intensified get-out-the-vote efforts among Arab communities, or broader swings in the Likud-Yashar contest could still alter the final tally before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$10Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) fluctuating between roughly 6 and 10 seats, reflecting volatility in Arab voter mobilization and competition with the separate Ra'am list. The alliance's August 2026 formation after extended negotiations over candidate placement has boosted combined Arab representation in some surveys, yet persistent bloc arithmetic—where neither the Netanyahu-aligned nor opposition Zionist parties reach a 61-seat majority—keeps outcomes sensitive to turnout shifts and small-party threshold crossings. Recent surveys from outlets like Channel 13, Maariv, and Kantar illustrate this narrow spread, with trader consensus spread evenly across bins as no single factor has produced sustained separation. Late developments such as candidate controversies, intensified get-out-the-vote efforts among Arab communities, or broader swings in the Likud-Yashar contest could still alter the final tally before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$10Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) fluctuating between roughly 6 and 10 seats, reflecting volatility in Arab voter mobilization and competition with the separate Ra'am list. The alliance's August 2026 formation after extended negotiations over candidate placement has boosted combined Arab representation in some surveys, yet persistent bloc arithmetic—where neither the Netanyahu-aligned nor opposition Zionist parties reach a 61-seat majority—keeps outcomes sensitive to turnout shifts and small-party threshold crossings. Recent surveys from outlets like Channel 13, Maariv, and Kantar illustrate this narrow spread, with trader consensus spread evenly across bins as no single factor has produced sustained separation. Late developments such as candidate controversies, intensified get-out-the-vote efforts among Arab communities, or broader swings in the Likud-Yashar contest could still alter the final tally before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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