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Mondo·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto
Mondo·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto

Renan Santos 56%

Ronaldo Caiado 38%

Romeu Zema 4.9%

Flávio Bolsonaro 3.0%

Polymarket

$551,019 Vol.

Renan Santos 56%

Ronaldo Caiado 38%

Romeu Zema 4.9%

Flávio Bolsonaro 3.0%

Polymarket

$551,019 Vol.

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$184,304 Vol.

56%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$53,464 Vol.

38%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$22,645 Vol.

5%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$25,209 Vol.

3%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$13,978 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$45,607 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$21,749 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$8,747 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$7,754 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$9,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$12,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$104,175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$13,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$10,684 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because recent polls place the Mission Party nominee in the 4–6% range, ahead of or tied with other non-Lula, non-Bolsonaro contenders. His social-media-driven, anti-establishment positioning has drawn younger right-leaning voters who reject both the PT incumbent and the Liberal Party standard-bearer. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee whose candidacy was formalized in late July, trails Santos in most surveys released in the first half of August and therefore commands the second-highest probability. Romeu Zema and Flávio Bolsonaro sit further back in the same narrow band, while Lula remains the clear frontrunner and Flávio the consistent second-place finisher. Official campaigning began on August 16, giving traders little additional data to shift the current consensus before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$551,019
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because recent polls place the Mission Party nominee in the 4–6% range, ahead of or tied with other non-Lula, non-Bolsonaro contenders. His social-media-driven, anti-establishment positioning has drawn younger right-leaning voters who reject both the PT incumbent and the Liberal Party standard-bearer. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee whose candidacy was formalized in late July, trails Santos in most surveys released in the first half of August and therefore commands the second-highest probability. Romeu Zema and Flávio Bolsonaro sit further back in the same narrow band, while Lula remains the clear frontrunner and Flávio the consistent second-place finisher. Official campaigning began on August 16, giving traders little additional data to shift the current consensus before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$551,019
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Correlati

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro finirà al secondo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Flávio Bolsonaro finirà al secondo posto nel primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

87%
Sì
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane nel Distretto Federale?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane nel Distretto Federale?

68%
Sì
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?

94%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Renan Santos" a 56%, seguito da "Ronaldo Caiado" a 38%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 56¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 56% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto" ha generato $551K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto" è "Renan Santos" a 56%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 56% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ronaldo Caiado" a 38%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 3° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.