Ciro Gomes leads trader pricing at 75.5% for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election due to consistent leads in recent opinion surveys and his established profile as a former state governor who rejoined the PSDB to focus on the race rather than a presidential bid. Polls from Ipsos-Ipec and Datafolha in May and June 2026 showed him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by double digits in the first round and holding an edge in runoff scenarios, reflecting voter familiarity and campaign momentum. Elmano’s reelection bid remains the clearest alternative at 10.5%, though trailing in most published surveys, while lower-priced contenders such as Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support. Upcoming polling and party alignments will continue to shape positioning ahead of the first-round vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 11%
Camilo Santana 2.1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$74,869 Vol.
$74,869 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
76%
Elmano de Freitas
11%
Camilo Santana
2%
Roberto Cláudio
1%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 11%
Camilo Santana 2.1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$74,869 Vol.
$74,869 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
$43,983 Vol.
76%
Elmano de Freitas
$10,666 Vol.
11%
Camilo Santana
$4,561 Vol.
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$4,208 Vol.
1%
Eduardo Girão
$5,159 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$6,293 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads trader pricing at 75.5% for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election due to consistent leads in recent opinion surveys and his established profile as a former state governor who rejoined the PSDB to focus on the race rather than a presidential bid. Polls from Ipsos-Ipec and Datafolha in May and June 2026 showed him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by double digits in the first round and holding an edge in runoff scenarios, reflecting voter familiarity and campaign momentum. Elmano’s reelection bid remains the clearest alternative at 10.5%, though trailing in most published surveys, while lower-priced contenders such as Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support. Upcoming polling and party alignments will continue to shape positioning ahead of the first-round vote.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$74,869Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads trader pricing at 75.5% for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election due to consistent leads in recent opinion surveys and his established profile as a former state governor who rejoined the PSDB to focus on the race rather than a presidential bid. Polls from Ipsos-Ipec and Datafolha in May and June 2026 showed him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by double digits in the first round and holding an edge in runoff scenarios, reflecting voter familiarity and campaign momentum. Elmano’s reelection bid remains the clearest alternative at 10.5%, though trailing in most published surveys, while lower-priced contenders such as Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support. Upcoming polling and party alignments will continue to shape positioning ahead of the first-round vote.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$74,869Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads trader pricing at 75.5% for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election due to consistent leads in recent opinion surveys and his established profile as a former state governor who rejoined the PSDB to focus on the race rather than a presidential bid. Polls from Ipsos-Ipec and Datafolha in May and June 2026 showed him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by double digits in the first round and holding an edge in runoff scenarios, reflecting voter familiarity and campaign momentum. Elmano’s reelection bid remains the clearest alternative at 10.5%, though trailing in most published surveys, while lower-priced contenders such as Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support. Upcoming polling and party alignments will continue to shape positioning ahead of the first-round vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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