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icon for Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o MP?
Politica·Svezia

Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o MP?

icon for Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o MP?
Politica·Svezia

Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o MP?

V

52% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

V

52% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls place Vänsterpartiet and Miljöpartiet in a tight race for fourth or fifth place ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with V often edging ahead by fractions of a point in the latest surveys. This narrow gap sustains the market's near-even implied probability, as both parties draw from overlapping left-leaning voter bases amid a broader centre-left bloc advantage. Key balancing factors include shifting priorities on climate policy versus economic and welfare issues, as well as potential tactical voting within the red-green spectrum. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout variations among younger or urban voters, and any party-specific announcements on coalition positioning could quickly alter relative support before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.

This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.

This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.

This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.

Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$495
Data di fine
13 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls place Vänsterpartiet and Miljöpartiet in a tight race for fourth or fifth place ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with V often edging ahead by fractions of a point in the latest surveys. This narrow gap sustains the market's near-even implied probability, as both parties draw from overlapping left-leaning voter bases amid a broader centre-left bloc advantage. Key balancing factors include shifting priorities on climate policy versus economic and welfare issues, as well as potential tactical voting within the red-green spectrum. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout variations among younger or urban voters, and any party-specific announcements on coalition positioning could quickly alter relative support before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.

This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.

This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.

This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.

Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$495
Data di fine
13 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Correlati

icon for Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o a C?

Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o a C?

48%
V
icon for Elezioni parlamentari svedesi: più voti a MP o a C?

Elezioni parlamentari svedesi: più voti a MP o a C?

46%
MP
icon for Elezioni parlamentari svedesi: Più voti a V o a KD?

Elezioni parlamentari svedesi: Più voti a V o a KD?

52%
V

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o MP?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o a MP?" a 52%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 52¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o MP?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 13, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o MP?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o MP?" è "Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o a MP?" a 52%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: più voti a V o MP?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.