Skip to main content
icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Taitung
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Taitung

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Taitung
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Taitung

Wu Hsiu-hua 69%

Chen Ying 21%

Li Wu Ying-chih 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Wu Hsiu-hua 69%

Chen Ying 21%

Li Wu Ying-chih 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Wu Hsiu-hua

Wu Hsiu-hua

$350 Vol.

69%

icon for Chen Ying

Chen Ying

$242 Vol.

21%

icon for Li Wu Ying-chih

Li Wu Ying-chih

$164 Vol.

9%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang (KMT) nominee and Taitung County Council speaker, leads the market at 69% as the designated successor to term-limited KMT incumbent Yao Ching-ling in the November 28, 2026, local election. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) selected Chen Ying as its candidate, positioning the race primarily between these two major-party contenders after reports indicated potential independent Liu Chao-hao had stepped back. Wu's established local profile and the KMT's long hold on the county office underpin trader consensus, while Chen Ying sits at 20.5% and other named or unnamed entrants remain at single-digit or flat probabilities. No major new developments in the past month have shifted positioning ahead of candidate registration later this summer.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$757
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang (KMT) nominee and Taitung County Council speaker, leads the market at 69% as the designated successor to term-limited KMT incumbent Yao Ching-ling in the November 28, 2026, local election. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) selected Chen Ying as its candidate, positioning the race primarily between these two major-party contenders after reports indicated potential independent Liu Chao-hao had stepped back. Wu's established local profile and the KMT's long hold on the county office underpin trader consensus, while Chen Ying sits at 20.5% and other named or unnamed entrants remain at single-digit or flat probabilities. No major new developments in the past month have shifted positioning ahead of candidate registration later this summer.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$757
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Correlati

icon for Chou Chun-mi vincerà le prossime elezioni per magistrato della contea di Pingtung?

Chou Chun-mi vincerà le prossime elezioni per magistrato della contea di Pingtung?

87%
Sì
icon for Tsai Yi-yu vincerà le prossime elezioni per Magistrato della Contea di Chiayi?

Tsai Yi-yu vincerà le prossime elezioni per Magistrato della Contea di Chiayi?

87%
Sì
icon for Chen Su-yueh vincerà le prossime elezioni per il magistrato della contea di Changhua?

Chen Su-yueh vincerà le prossime elezioni per il magistrato della contea di Changhua?

18%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Taitung" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Wu Hsiu-hua" a 69%, seguito da "Chen Ying" a 21%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 69¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 69% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Taitung" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Taitung", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Taitung" è "Wu Hsiu-hua" a 69%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 69% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Chen Ying" a 21%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Taitung" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.