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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hualien
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hualien

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hualien
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hualien

Chang Chun 30%

Yu Shu-chen 26%

Yeh Yao-hui 23%

Wei Chia-hsien 19%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Chang Chun 30%

Yu Shu-chen 26%

Yeh Yao-hui 23%

Wei Chia-hsien 19%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Chang Chun

Chang Chun

$45 Vol.

30%

icon for Yu Shu-chen

Yu Shu-chen

$42 Vol.

26%

icon for Yeh Yao-hui

Yeh Yao-hui

$87 Vol.

23%

icon for Wei Chia-hsien

Wei Chia-hsien

$46 Vol.

39%

icon for Lo Pei-chin

Lo Pei-chin

$67 Vol.

18%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).In Hualien County's magistrate race for the November 28, 2026 local elections, a crowded field of KMT-affiliated and independent candidates has produced closely matched trader probabilities. The official KMT nominee, Ji'an Township head Yu Shu-chen, faces challenges from independents including former Hualien City mayor Wei Chia-hsien, County Council Speaker Chang Chun, Lo Pei-chin, and Yeh Yao-hui. Internal party divisions over ending long-standing local influence have fragmented support among pan-blue voters, while the absence of recent public polling leaves assessments reliant on early announcements and nomination dynamics. Upcoming candidate registration, potential coalition talks, and voter turnout patterns in this eastern Taiwan county could shift the balance ahead of election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$287
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).In Hualien County's magistrate race for the November 28, 2026 local elections, a crowded field of KMT-affiliated and independent candidates has produced closely matched trader probabilities. The official KMT nominee, Ji'an Township head Yu Shu-chen, faces challenges from independents including former Hualien City mayor Wei Chia-hsien, County Council Speaker Chang Chun, Lo Pei-chin, and Yeh Yao-hui. Internal party divisions over ending long-standing local influence have fragmented support among pan-blue voters, while the absence of recent public polling leaves assessments reliant on early announcements and nomination dynamics. Upcoming candidate registration, potential coalition talks, and voter turnout patterns in this eastern Taiwan county could shift the balance ahead of election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$287
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Correlati

icon for Tsai Yi-yu vincerà le prossime elezioni per Magistrato della Contea di Chiayi?

Tsai Yi-yu vincerà le prossime elezioni per Magistrato della Contea di Chiayi?

87%
Sì
icon for Chung Tung-chin vincerà le prossime elezioni per il Magistrato della Contea di Miaoli?

Chung Tung-chin vincerà le prossime elezioni per il Magistrato della Contea di Miaoli?

89%
Sì
icon for Wu Hsiu-hua vincerà le prossime elezioni del Magistrato della Contea di Taitung?

Wu Hsiu-hua vincerà le prossime elezioni del Magistrato della Contea di Taitung?

69%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hualien" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Wei Chia-hsien" a 39%, seguito da "Chang Chun" a 30%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 39¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 39% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hualien" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hualien", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hualien" è "Wei Chia-hsien" a 39%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 39% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Chang Chun" a 30%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Hualien" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.