**The Pernambuco gubernatorial race remains closely contested between incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) and João Campos (PSB), with trader prices reflecting polling volatility and regional divides ahead of the October 4 first round.** Lyra, seeking reelection after her 2022 victory, benefits from steady government approval ratings near 60-68% and stronger support in the interior, while Campos, the former Recife mayor leveraging his family political legacy, maintains a firm base in the capital and formal backing from President Lula. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys show Lyra ahead in the first round (44-47% to 36-40%), though some late August/early September polls indicate a statistical tie, and both remain competitive in runoff scenarios. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register minimal support. Separation could emerge from turnout patterns, shifts among undecided voters, or campaign momentum in the final weeks, given the fragmented field and potential for a second round on October 25.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRaquel Lyra 52%
João Campos 38%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$45,644 Vol.
$45,644 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Raquel Lyra
52%
João Campos
38%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 52%
João Campos 38%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$45,644 Vol.
$45,644 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Raquel Lyra
$20,487 Vol.
52%
João Campos
$20,094 Vol.
38%
Ivan Moraes
$5,063 Vol.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Pernambuco gubernatorial race remains closely contested between incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) and João Campos (PSB), with trader prices reflecting polling volatility and regional divides ahead of the October 4 first round.** Lyra, seeking reelection after her 2022 victory, benefits from steady government approval ratings near 60-68% and stronger support in the interior, while Campos, the former Recife mayor leveraging his family political legacy, maintains a firm base in the capital and formal backing from President Lula. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys show Lyra ahead in the first round (44-47% to 36-40%), though some late August/early September polls indicate a statistical tie, and both remain competitive in runoff scenarios. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register minimal support. Separation could emerge from turnout patterns, shifts among undecided voters, or campaign momentum in the final weeks, given the fragmented field and potential for a second round on October 25.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$45,644Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Pernambuco gubernatorial race remains closely contested between incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) and João Campos (PSB), with trader prices reflecting polling volatility and regional divides ahead of the October 4 first round.** Lyra, seeking reelection after her 2022 victory, benefits from steady government approval ratings near 60-68% and stronger support in the interior, while Campos, the former Recife mayor leveraging his family political legacy, maintains a firm base in the capital and formal backing from President Lula. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys show Lyra ahead in the first round (44-47% to 36-40%), though some late August/early September polls indicate a statistical tie, and both remain competitive in runoff scenarios. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register minimal support. Separation could emerge from turnout patterns, shifts among undecided voters, or campaign momentum in the final weeks, given the fragmented field and potential for a second round on October 25.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45,644Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**The Pernambuco gubernatorial race remains closely contested between incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) and João Campos (PSB), with trader prices reflecting polling volatility and regional divides ahead of the October 4 first round.** Lyra, seeking reelection after her 2022 victory, benefits from steady government approval ratings near 60-68% and stronger support in the interior, while Campos, the former Recife mayor leveraging his family political legacy, maintains a firm base in the capital and formal backing from President Lula. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys show Lyra ahead in the first round (44-47% to 36-40%), though some late August/early September polls indicate a statistical tie, and both remain competitive in runoff scenarios. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register minimal support. Separation could emerge from turnout patterns, shifts among undecided voters, or campaign momentum in the final weeks, given the fragmented field and potential for a second round on October 25.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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