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Elezioni·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Maranhão

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Maranhão
Elezioni·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Maranhão

Eduardo Braide 61%

Orleans Brandão 38%

Felipe Camarão <1%

André Luís <1%

Polymarket

$59,099 Vol.

Eduardo Braide 61%

Orleans Brandão 38%

Felipe Camarão <1%

André Luís <1%

Polymarket

$59,099 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Braide

Eduardo Braide

$27,877 Vol.

61%

icon for Orleans Brandão

Orleans Brandão

$12,822 Vol.

38%

icon for Felipe Camarão

Felipe Camarão

$4,642 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Luís

André Luís

$5,426 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$4,092 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$4,240 Vol.

<1%

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) leads trader pricing in the Maranhão gubernatorial race at 60.5% implied probability, driven by his established name recognition from two terms as São Luís mayor, PSD party infrastructure, and leads in most recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round. Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails at 38%, drawing support from state government networks tied to his uncle, the incumbent governor, yet faces a competitive but fragmented field including lower-polling contenders such as Felipe Camarão (PT). Divergent polling results across institutes highlight ongoing uncertainty about voter preferences in a potential runoff scenario, with Braide's structural advantages in the capital region shaping current market consensus on first-round positioning.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$59,099
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) leads trader pricing in the Maranhão gubernatorial race at 60.5% implied probability, driven by his established name recognition from two terms as São Luís mayor, PSD party infrastructure, and leads in most recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round. Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails at 38%, drawing support from state government networks tied to his uncle, the incumbent governor, yet faces a competitive but fragmented field including lower-polling contenders such as Felipe Camarão (PT). Divergent polling results across institutes highlight ongoing uncertainty about voter preferences in a potential runoff scenario, with Braide's structural advantages in the capital region shaping current market consensus on first-round positioning.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$59,099
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Maranhão" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Eduardo Braide" a 61%, seguito da "Orleans Brandão" a 38%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 61¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 61% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Maranhão" ha generato $59.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 12, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Maranhão", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Maranhão" è "Eduardo Braide" a 61%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 61% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Orleans Brandão" a 38%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Maranhão" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.