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icon for Elezioni al Senato Sergipe: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato Sergipe: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni al Senato Sergipe: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato Sergipe: 2° posto

Rogerio Carvalho 24%

André Moura 15%

Delegado Alessandro 14.1%

Eduardo Amorim 11%

Polymarket

$14,523 Vol.

Rogerio Carvalho 24%

André Moura 15%

Delegado Alessandro 14.1%

Eduardo Amorim 11%

Polymarket

$14,523 Vol.

icon for Rogerio Carvalho

Rogerio Carvalho

$4,053 Vol.

24%

icon for André Moura

André Moura

$1,740 Vol.

15%

icon for Delegado Alessandro

Delegado Alessandro

$1,225 Vol.

14%

icon for Eduardo Amorim

Eduardo Amorim

$1,158 Vol.

11%

icon for Rodrigo Valadares

Rodrigo Valadares

$986 Vol.

11%

icon for Delegado André David

Delegado André David

$1,490 Vol.

9%

icon for Renatinha

Renatinha

$1,053 Vol.

1%

icon for Coronel Rocha

Coronel Rocha

$536 Vol.

1%

icon for Edvaldo

Edvaldo

$407 Vol.

1%

icon for Paulinho da União Tur

Paulinho da União Tur

$685 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iran Barbosa

Iran Barbosa

$1,190 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July and early August 2026 shows a highly fragmented field for Sergipe’s two Senate seats, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) narrowly ahead in the low-to-mid teens, followed closely by André Moura (União), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), Alessandro Vieira (MDB), and incumbent Rogério Carvalho (PT). The two-vote structure, elevated undecided and blank responses, and 11-candidate slate after mid-August registrations keep second-place positioning fluid and sensitive to small shifts in voter preferences. Traders reflect this uncertainty through tight pricing among the leading names, underscoring the impact of regional turnout variations and the absence of major campaign consolidation ahead of the October 4 vote. Further surveys or alliance announcements could quickly reorder the group.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$14,523
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July and early August 2026 shows a highly fragmented field for Sergipe’s two Senate seats, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) narrowly ahead in the low-to-mid teens, followed closely by André Moura (União), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), Alessandro Vieira (MDB), and incumbent Rogério Carvalho (PT). The two-vote structure, elevated undecided and blank responses, and 11-candidate slate after mid-August registrations keep second-place positioning fluid and sensitive to small shifts in voter preferences. Traders reflect this uncertainty through tight pricing among the leading names, underscoring the impact of regional turnout variations and the absence of major campaign consolidation ahead of the October 4 vote. Further surveys or alliance announcements could quickly reorder the group.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$14,523
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?

Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?

50%
icon for Guilherme Derrite otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di San Paolo del 2026?

Guilherme Derrite otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di San Paolo del 2026?

30%
Sì
icon for Leila do Vôlei otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

Leila do Vôlei otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

42%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni al Senato Sergipe: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Rogerio Carvalho" a 24%, seguito da "André Moura" a 15%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 24¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 24% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni al Senato Sergipe: 2° posto" ha generato $14.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni al Senato Sergipe: 2° posto", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni al Senato Sergipe: 2° posto" è "Rogerio Carvalho" a 24%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 24% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "André Moura" a 15%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni al Senato Sergipe: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.