Recent Swedish opinion polls, including Demoskop's August survey and Novus's July results, place the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-20.4% support, consistent with the party's 20.5% result in the 2022 election and reflecting stable voter preferences on immigration and law-and-order issues. The centre-right Tidö government, which relies on SD parliamentary backing, trails the Social Democrats-led opposition by 7-10 points overall, limiting SD's upside momentum while the 4% threshold dynamics and bloc competition keep outcomes tightly clustered around 18-20%. With the September 13 election one month away, late shifts in turnout or minor-party performance remain the main variables that could push SD above or below 20%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni parlamentari in Svezia: SD Vote Share?
Elezioni parlamentari in Svezia: SD Vote Share?
20%+ 48%
18-20% 35%
16-18% 13%
<16% 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
<16%
11%
16-18%
13%
18-20%
35%
20%+
48%
20%+ 48%
18-20% 35%
16-18% 13%
<16% 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
<16%
$317 Vol.
11%
16-18%
$347 Vol.
13%
18-20%
$645 Vol.
35%
20%+
$1,053 Vol.
48%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls, including Demoskop's August survey and Novus's July results, place the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-20.4% support, consistent with the party's 20.5% result in the 2022 election and reflecting stable voter preferences on immigration and law-and-order issues. The centre-right Tidö government, which relies on SD parliamentary backing, trails the Social Democrats-led opposition by 7-10 points overall, limiting SD's upside momentum while the 4% threshold dynamics and bloc competition keep outcomes tightly clustered around 18-20%. With the September 13 election one month away, late shifts in turnout or minor-party performance remain the main variables that could push SD above or below 20%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ET
Volume
$2,362Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls, including Demoskop's August survey and Novus's July results, place the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-20.4% support, consistent with the party's 20.5% result in the 2022 election and reflecting stable voter preferences on immigration and law-and-order issues. The centre-right Tidö government, which relies on SD parliamentary backing, trails the Social Democrats-led opposition by 7-10 points overall, limiting SD's upside momentum while the 4% threshold dynamics and bloc competition keep outcomes tightly clustered around 18-20%. With the September 13 election one month away, late shifts in turnout or minor-party performance remain the main variables that could push SD above or below 20%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$2,362Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls, including Demoskop's August survey and Novus's July results, place the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-20.4% support, consistent with the party's 20.5% result in the 2022 election and reflecting stable voter preferences on immigration and law-and-order issues. The centre-right Tidö government, which relies on SD parliamentary backing, trails the Social Democrats-led opposition by 7-10 points overall, limiting SD's upside momentum while the 4% threshold dynamics and bloc competition keep outcomes tightly clustered around 18-20%. With the September 13 election one month away, late shifts in turnout or minor-party performance remain the main variables that could push SD above or below 20%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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