Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai’s overnight low on August 26 will settle near 26–27°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns closely with late-August climatology, where average minima cluster around 26–27°C absent typhoon incursions or cold-air advection. No major synoptic shifts or precipitation events are projected in the 48-hour window that would push readings below 25°C or above 28°C, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those central outcomes. Updated guidance through August 25 will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 26 agosto?
27°C 47%
26°C 37%
28°C 16%
30°C 15%
22°C or below
10%
23°C
11%
24°C
6%
25°C
10%
26°C
37%
27°C
47%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
15%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
8%
27°C 47%
26°C 37%
28°C 16%
30°C 15%
22°C or below
10%
23°C
11%
24°C
6%
25°C
10%
26°C
37%
27°C
47%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
15%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai’s overnight low on August 26 will settle near 26–27°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns closely with late-August climatology, where average minima cluster around 26–27°C absent typhoon incursions or cold-air advection. No major synoptic shifts or precipitation events are projected in the 48-hour window that would push readings below 25°C or above 28°C, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those central outcomes. Updated guidance through August 25 will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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