Recent forecasts for Istanbul on August 26 show mostly sunny conditions with highs clustered near 29–31°C under persistent high pressure and light northeast winds, aligning with late-summer climatology. Model consensus favors peak temperatures in the upper 20s, yet modest spread in predicted wind speeds, humidity, and any thin afternoon cloud cover creates uncertainty around the precise maximum. Official station readings, which resolve the market, can vary slightly by location and measurement timing, supporting the tight 50% odds across 25–29°C outcomes while keeping extremes below 10% probability. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 26 agosto?
29°C 50%
27°C 45%
28°C 27%
25°C 24%
23°C or below
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
24%
26°C
20%
27°C
45%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
7%
29°C 50%
27°C 45%
28°C 27%
25°C 24%
23°C or below
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
24%
26°C
20%
27°C
45%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Istanbul on August 26 show mostly sunny conditions with highs clustered near 29–31°C under persistent high pressure and light northeast winds, aligning with late-summer climatology. Model consensus favors peak temperatures in the upper 20s, yet modest spread in predicted wind speeds, humidity, and any thin afternoon cloud cover creates uncertainty around the precise maximum. Official station readings, which resolve the market, can vary slightly by location and measurement timing, supporting the tight 50% odds across 25–29°C outcomes while keeping extremes below 10% probability. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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