Recent official forecasts from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a high near 32°C for August 24 under partly cloudy skies with southeast winds of 10–15 mph and only scattered light showers possible. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions where typical maxima reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and moderate cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54% implied probability for 31°C and 36% for 32°C, centers on these values given model agreement and the low odds assigned to 33°C or higher, though final readings could shift with any unexpected clearing or convective activity before peak afternoon temperatures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 24 agosto?
31°C 49%
32°C 43%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
49%
32°C
43%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 49%
32°C 43%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
25°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$605 Vol.
1%
30°C
$895 Vol.
5%
31°C
$2,455 Vol.
49%
32°C
$2,287 Vol.
43%
33°C
$763 Vol.
6%
34°C
$953 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$582 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a high near 32°C for August 24 under partly cloudy skies with southeast winds of 10–15 mph and only scattered light showers possible. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions where typical maxima reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and moderate cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54% implied probability for 31°C and 36% for 32°C, centers on these values given model agreement and the low odds assigned to 33°C or higher, though final readings could shift with any unexpected clearing or convective activity before peak afternoon temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,598Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a high near 32°C for August 24 under partly cloudy skies with southeast winds of 10–15 mph and only scattered light showers possible. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions where typical maxima reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and moderate cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54% implied probability for 31°C and 36% for 32°C, centers on these values given model agreement and the low odds assigned to 33°C or higher, though final readings could shift with any unexpected clearing or convective activity before peak afternoon temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,598Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a high near 32°C for August 24 under partly cloudy skies with southeast winds of 10–15 mph and only scattered light showers possible. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions where typical maxima reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and moderate cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54% implied probability for 31°C and 36% for 32°C, centers on these values given model agreement and the low odds assigned to 33°C or higher, though final readings could shift with any unexpected clearing or convective activity before peak afternoon temperatures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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