**Trader consensus has coalesced on 17°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on August 23 due to the latest short-range guidance from MetService and supporting models showing northwest flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of any frontal shift.** Current observations and ensemble forecasts indicate daytime maxima reaching or slightly exceeding this level under partly cloudy to fine conditions after morning showers, consistent with a transitional pattern that temporarily elevates temperatures above the August climatological average of roughly 13–14°C. NIWA’s near-average seasonal outlook provides broader context but is superseded by these finer-scale updates. Realistic challenges include an earlier or stronger southerly change that caps the peak below 17°C, or localized measurement variations at official stations; resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum from authoritative New Zealand meteorological records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 23 agosto?
17°C 98.6%
18°C 1.3%
19°C or higher <1%
9°C or below <1%
$62,234 Vol.
$62,234 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
99%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
17°C 98.6%
18°C 1.3%
19°C or higher <1%
9°C or below <1%
$62,234 Vol.
$62,234 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
99%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has coalesced on 17°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on August 23 due to the latest short-range guidance from MetService and supporting models showing northwest flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of any frontal shift.** Current observations and ensemble forecasts indicate daytime maxima reaching or slightly exceeding this level under partly cloudy to fine conditions after morning showers, consistent with a transitional pattern that temporarily elevates temperatures above the August climatological average of roughly 13–14°C. NIWA’s near-average seasonal outlook provides broader context but is superseded by these finer-scale updates. Realistic challenges include an earlier or stronger southerly change that caps the peak below 17°C, or localized measurement variations at official stations; resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum from authoritative New Zealand meteorological records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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