Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31°C for Shanghai on August 23, 2026, supporting the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered light rain are expected to cap solar heating and keep the high within the typical late-August climatological range of 30–31°C amid dew points near 25–27°C. Model consensus and official guidance reinforce trader confidence in this narrow band. A realistic challenge could arise if convective activity remains minimal or steering patterns allow clearer skies, potentially pushing readings to 32°C, though current data show low odds of such a shift before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 23 agosto?
31°C 98%
32°C 4%
33°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$52,646 Vol.
$52,646 Vol.
23 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
98%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 98%
32°C 4%
33°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$52,646 Vol.
$52,646 Vol.
23 ago 2026
26°C or below
$274 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,613 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,732 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,403 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$14,106 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,984 Vol.
98%
32°C
$9,587 Vol.
4%
33°C
$6,739 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,427 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,479 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31°C for Shanghai on August 23, 2026, supporting the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered light rain are expected to cap solar heating and keep the high within the typical late-August climatological range of 30–31°C amid dew points near 25–27°C. Model consensus and official guidance reinforce trader confidence in this narrow band. A realistic challenge could arise if convective activity remains minimal or steering patterns allow clearer skies, potentially pushing readings to 32°C, though current data show low odds of such a shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$52,646Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31°C for Shanghai on August 23, 2026, supporting the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered light rain are expected to cap solar heating and keep the high within the typical late-August climatological range of 30–31°C amid dew points near 25–27°C. Model consensus and official guidance reinforce trader confidence in this narrow band. A realistic challenge could arise if convective activity remains minimal or steering patterns allow clearer skies, potentially pushing readings to 32°C, though current data show low odds of such a shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,646Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31°C for Shanghai on August 23, 2026, supporting the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered light rain are expected to cap solar heating and keep the high within the typical late-August climatological range of 30–31°C amid dew points near 25–27°C. Model consensus and official guidance reinforce trader confidence in this narrow band. A realistic challenge could arise if convective activity remains minimal or steering patterns allow clearer skies, potentially pushing readings to 32°C, though current data show low odds of such a shift before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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