**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's lowest temperature on August 23, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 27°C (97.5% implied probability) due to consistent official forecasts showing an overnight low at that level amid subtropical monsoon conditions.** Persistent southeast winds, high humidity (70-90%), and widespread cloud cover with light showers or drizzle have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures steady near 27°C as confirmed by multiple meteorological models and station data. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where warm, moist air masses dominate. Realistic challenges to this outcome include unexpected clear skies enhancing cooling or localized measurement differences across stations, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 23 agosto?
27°C 98%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$19,066 Vol.
$19,066 Vol.
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$19,066 Vol.
$19,066 Vol.
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
$315 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$704 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$549 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,735 Vol.
1%
26°C
$789 Vol.
3%
27°C
$6,652 Vol.
98%
28°C
$6,343 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$994 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$333 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's lowest temperature on August 23, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 27°C (97.5% implied probability) due to consistent official forecasts showing an overnight low at that level amid subtropical monsoon conditions.**
Persistent southeast winds, high humidity (70-90%), and widespread cloud cover with light showers or drizzle have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures steady near 27°C as confirmed by multiple meteorological models and station data. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where warm, moist air masses dominate.
Realistic challenges to this outcome include unexpected clear skies enhancing cooling or localized measurement differences across stations, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$19,066Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's lowest temperature on August 23, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 27°C (97.5% implied probability) due to consistent official forecasts showing an overnight low at that level amid subtropical monsoon conditions.**
Persistent southeast winds, high humidity (70-90%), and widespread cloud cover with light showers or drizzle have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures steady near 27°C as confirmed by multiple meteorological models and station data. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where warm, moist air masses dominate.
Realistic challenges to this outcome include unexpected clear skies enhancing cooling or localized measurement differences across stations, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,066Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's lowest temperature on August 23, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 27°C (97.5% implied probability) due to consistent official forecasts showing an overnight low at that level amid subtropical monsoon conditions.** Persistent southeast winds, high humidity (70-90%), and widespread cloud cover with light showers or drizzle have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures steady near 27°C as confirmed by multiple meteorological models and station data. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where warm, moist air masses dominate. Realistic challenges to this outcome include unexpected clear skies enhancing cooling or localized measurement differences across stations, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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