**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Chengdu on August 23, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring variable cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate humidity that limit afternoon heating.** Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, with the city’s basin location and frequent precipitation acting as natural caps on extremes. Model consensus across providers shows peaks in this narrow band, with low probabilities assigned to 33°C+ outcomes reflecting the reduced chance of clear skies or stronger subsidence. Trader-implied odds align closely with this data, weighting 31°C slightly higher amid ongoing light rain chances that could shave a degree from the peak depending on timing and exact station readings. New observational updates or refined short-term model runs could shift the final recorded high within the 31–32°C window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 23 agosto?
31°C 44%
32°C 38%
33°C 15%
34°C 2.1%
$58,974 Vol.
$58,974 Vol.
23 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
36%
32°C
38%
33°C
15%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
32°C 38%
33°C 15%
34°C 2.1%
$58,974 Vol.
$58,974 Vol.
23 ago 2026
27°C or below
$4,280 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,915 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,200 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,608 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,954 Vol.
36%
32°C
$4,648 Vol.
38%
33°C
$8,228 Vol.
15%
34°C
$5,021 Vol.
2%
35°C
$3,863 Vol.
1%
36°C
$4,596 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,661 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Chengdu on August 23, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring variable cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate humidity that limit afternoon heating.** Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, with the city’s basin location and frequent precipitation acting as natural caps on extremes. Model consensus across providers shows peaks in this narrow band, with low probabilities assigned to 33°C+ outcomes reflecting the reduced chance of clear skies or stronger subsidence. Trader-implied odds align closely with this data, weighting 31°C slightly higher amid ongoing light rain chances that could shave a degree from the peak depending on timing and exact station readings. New observational updates or refined short-term model runs could shift the final recorded high within the 31–32°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$58,974Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Chengdu on August 23, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring variable cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate humidity that limit afternoon heating.** Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, with the city’s basin location and frequent precipitation acting as natural caps on extremes. Model consensus across providers shows peaks in this narrow band, with low probabilities assigned to 33°C+ outcomes reflecting the reduced chance of clear skies or stronger subsidence. Trader-implied odds align closely with this data, weighting 31°C slightly higher amid ongoing light rain chances that could shave a degree from the peak depending on timing and exact station readings. New observational updates or refined short-term model runs could shift the final recorded high within the 31–32°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,974Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Chengdu on August 23, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring variable cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate humidity that limit afternoon heating.** Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, with the city’s basin location and frequent precipitation acting as natural caps on extremes. Model consensus across providers shows peaks in this narrow band, with low probabilities assigned to 33°C+ outcomes reflecting the reduced chance of clear skies or stronger subsidence. Trader-implied odds align closely with this data, weighting 31°C slightly higher amid ongoing light rain chances that could shave a degree from the peak depending on timing and exact station readings. New observational updates or refined short-term model runs could shift the final recorded high within the 31–32°C window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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