Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered rain showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 23, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models project maximum temperatures near 30–32 °C under these conditions, consistent with August climatology showing average highs of 30–31 °C. The strong market-implied probability for 32 °C reflects trader assessment of this ongoing convective regime. A realistic upward shift to 33 °C or higher would require a temporary break in cloudiness or reduced monsoon flow, while the current setup makes extremes above 34 °C highly improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 23 agosto?
32°C 95%
33°C 6%
34°C 1.0%
35°C o superiore <1%
$21,097 Vol.
$21,097 Vol.
23 ago 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
95%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 95%
33°C 6%
34°C 1.0%
35°C o superiore <1%
$21,097 Vol.
$21,097 Vol.
23 ago 2026
25°C o inferiore
$285 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$947 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,810 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,692 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,435 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,393 Vol.
95%
33°C
$2,361 Vol.
6%
34°C
$2,005 Vol.
1%
35°C o superiore
$1,601 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered rain showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 23, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models project maximum temperatures near 30–32 °C under these conditions, consistent with August climatology showing average highs of 30–31 °C. The strong market-implied probability for 32 °C reflects trader assessment of this ongoing convective regime. A realistic upward shift to 33 °C or higher would require a temporary break in cloudiness or reduced monsoon flow, while the current setup makes extremes above 34 °C highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$21,097Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered rain showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 23, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models project maximum temperatures near 30–32 °C under these conditions, consistent with August climatology showing average highs of 30–31 °C. The strong market-implied probability for 32 °C reflects trader assessment of this ongoing convective regime. A realistic upward shift to 33 °C or higher would require a temporary break in cloudiness or reduced monsoon flow, while the current setup makes extremes above 34 °C highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,097Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered rain showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 23, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models project maximum temperatures near 30–32 °C under these conditions, consistent with August climatology showing average highs of 30–31 °C. The strong market-implied probability for 32 °C reflects trader assessment of this ongoing convective regime. A realistic upward shift to 33 °C or higher would require a temporary break in cloudiness or reduced monsoon flow, while the current setup makes extremes above 34 °C highly improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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