Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's August 24 high will likely fall between 30–32°C amid the southwest monsoon (Habagat), which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit peak solar heating. El Niño conditions, strengthening in the tropical Pacific, provide a warmer baseline through suppressed regional convection elsewhere, yet the active monsoon trough over Luzon introduces day-to-day variability in cloud thickness and precipitation timing that can trim or allow brief periods of clearer skies. Historical August maxima near 30–31°C, combined with current model spreads showing 85–89°F (29–32°C) ranges, explain the tight market clustering around 31°C and 32°C as traders weigh the balance between monsoon suppression and any diurnal clearing. Updated PAGASA outlooks and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 24 agosto?
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
30%
32°C
25%
33°C
6%
34°C o superiore
4%
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
$3 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$85 Vol.
1%
28°C
$135 Vol.
3%
29°C
$21 Vol.
8%
30°C
$233 Vol.
19%
31°C
$419 Vol.
30%
32°C
$1,008 Vol.
25%
33°C
$460 Vol.
6%
34°C o superiore
$97 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's August 24 high will likely fall between 30–32°C amid the southwest monsoon (Habagat), which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit peak solar heating. El Niño conditions, strengthening in the tropical Pacific, provide a warmer baseline through suppressed regional convection elsewhere, yet the active monsoon trough over Luzon introduces day-to-day variability in cloud thickness and precipitation timing that can trim or allow brief periods of clearer skies. Historical August maxima near 30–31°C, combined with current model spreads showing 85–89°F (29–32°C) ranges, explain the tight market clustering around 31°C and 32°C as traders weigh the balance between monsoon suppression and any diurnal clearing. Updated PAGASA outlooks and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,591Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's August 24 high will likely fall between 30–32°C amid the southwest monsoon (Habagat), which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit peak solar heating. El Niño conditions, strengthening in the tropical Pacific, provide a warmer baseline through suppressed regional convection elsewhere, yet the active monsoon trough over Luzon introduces day-to-day variability in cloud thickness and precipitation timing that can trim or allow brief periods of clearer skies. Historical August maxima near 30–31°C, combined with current model spreads showing 85–89°F (29–32°C) ranges, explain the tight market clustering around 31°C and 32°C as traders weigh the balance between monsoon suppression and any diurnal clearing. Updated PAGASA outlooks and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,591Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's August 24 high will likely fall between 30–32°C amid the southwest monsoon (Habagat), which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit peak solar heating. El Niño conditions, strengthening in the tropical Pacific, provide a warmer baseline through suppressed regional convection elsewhere, yet the active monsoon trough over Luzon introduces day-to-day variability in cloud thickness and precipitation timing that can trim or allow brief periods of clearer skies. Historical August maxima near 30–31°C, combined with current model spreads showing 85–89°F (29–32°C) ranges, explain the tight market clustering around 31°C and 32°C as traders weigh the balance between monsoon suppression and any diurnal clearing. Updated PAGASA outlooks and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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