The southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to dominate Metro Manila with cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high rainfall probabilities near 90% on August 24, limiting daytime heating while trapping heat overnight through reduced radiative cooling. Official PAGASA guidance points to minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 24–26°C under these conditions, consistent with historical monsoon patterns that suppress both extremes. Trader consensus clusters around this range because forecast model spreads hinge on the precise timing and intensity of showers, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, while distant tropical systems add minor steering uncertainty. New PAGASA briefings and updated model runs will clarify these variables ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Manila il 24 agosto?
31°C o superiore 73%
29°C 52%
26°C 29%
24°C 28%
21°C o inferiore
1%
22°C
16%
23°C
25%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
52%
30°C
12%
31°C o superiore
73%
31°C o superiore 73%
29°C 52%
26°C 29%
24°C 28%
21°C o inferiore
1%
22°C
16%
23°C
25%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
52%
30°C
12%
31°C o superiore
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to dominate Metro Manila with cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high rainfall probabilities near 90% on August 24, limiting daytime heating while trapping heat overnight through reduced radiative cooling. Official PAGASA guidance points to minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 24–26°C under these conditions, consistent with historical monsoon patterns that suppress both extremes. Trader consensus clusters around this range because forecast model spreads hinge on the precise timing and intensity of showers, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, while distant tropical systems add minor steering uncertainty. New PAGASA briefings and updated model runs will clarify these variables ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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