Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on August 22, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-summer conditions, including high humidity and moderate southerly flow under a weakening monsoon trough, supported this value without the extreme heat advection seen earlier in the month from Typhoon Dolphin. Climatological baselines show August averages near 31°C at the observatory headquarters, with model consensus and real-time station data confirming no deviation into higher or lower thresholds. Resolution hinges on the official HKO headquarters reading, leaving minimal scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments arise from sensor calibration checks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 22 agosto?
31°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$161,685 Vol.
$161,685 Vol.
22 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$161,685 Vol.
$161,685 Vol.
22 ago 2026
25°C or below
$268 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,233 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,387 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$31,838 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$22,542 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$39,032 Vol.
100%
32°C
$17,977 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$24,510 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$7,955 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$3,561 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on August 22, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-summer conditions, including high humidity and moderate southerly flow under a weakening monsoon trough, supported this value without the extreme heat advection seen earlier in the month from Typhoon Dolphin. Climatological baselines show August averages near 31°C at the observatory headquarters, with model consensus and real-time station data confirming no deviation into higher or lower thresholds. Resolution hinges on the official HKO headquarters reading, leaving minimal scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments arise from sensor calibration checks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$161,685Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on August 22, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-summer conditions, including high humidity and moderate southerly flow under a weakening monsoon trough, supported this value without the extreme heat advection seen earlier in the month from Typhoon Dolphin. Climatological baselines show August averages near 31°C at the observatory headquarters, with model consensus and real-time station data confirming no deviation into higher or lower thresholds. Resolution hinges on the official HKO headquarters reading, leaving minimal scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments arise from sensor calibration checks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$161,685Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on August 22, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-summer conditions, including high humidity and moderate southerly flow under a weakening monsoon trough, supported this value without the extreme heat advection seen earlier in the month from Typhoon Dolphin. Climatological baselines show August averages near 31°C at the observatory headquarters, with model consensus and real-time station data confirming no deviation into higher or lower thresholds. Resolution hinges on the official HKO headquarters reading, leaving minimal scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments arise from sensor calibration checks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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