Forecast consensus from global and regional models places Wuhan's August 25 daily maximum near 36–37 °C, with the closely matched market prices reflecting modest uncertainty in peak afternoon heating under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical of late August support strong diurnal temperature ranges, while any scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap the high near 36 °C and clearer, drier air could push readings to 37–38 °C. Historical late-August peaks in Wuhan cluster between 33–38 °C, providing limited guidance for the narrow resolution window. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and insolation forecasts ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 25 agosto?
36°C 32%
37°C 32%
35°C 14%
34°C 11%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
11%
35°C
14%
36°C
32%
37°C
32%
38°C
16%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
4%
36°C 32%
37°C 32%
35°C 14%
34°C 11%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
11%
35°C
14%
36°C
32%
37°C
32%
38°C
16%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global and regional models places Wuhan's August 25 daily maximum near 36–37 °C, with the closely matched market prices reflecting modest uncertainty in peak afternoon heating under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical of late August support strong diurnal temperature ranges, while any scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap the high near 36 °C and clearer, drier air could push readings to 37–38 °C. Historical late-August peaks in Wuhan cluster between 33–38 °C, providing limited guidance for the narrow resolution window. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and insolation forecasts ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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