Latest forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and global models such as ECMWF show Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 25 likely reaching 27–29 °C, driven by typical late-summer high-pressure conditions that limit strong daytime heating while allowing clear skies and light winds. Seasonal cooling from mid-August peaks reduces the chance of extremes above 32 °C, consistent with climatological averages near 30 °C for the period and current observational trends showing no heatwave setup. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official guidance around 28 °C most heavily, with model consensus and the short two-day lead time supporting the market’s emphasis on this narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 25 agosto?
28°C 44%
29°C 29%
27°C 17%
30°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
17%
28°C
44%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 44%
29°C 29%
27°C 17%
30°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
24°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$32 Vol.
17%
28°C
$24 Vol.
44%
29°C
$13 Vol.
29%
30°C
$10 Vol.
8%
31°C
$15 Vol.
6%
32°C
$4 Vol.
3%
33°C
$5 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and global models such as ECMWF show Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 25 likely reaching 27–29 °C, driven by typical late-summer high-pressure conditions that limit strong daytime heating while allowing clear skies and light winds. Seasonal cooling from mid-August peaks reduces the chance of extremes above 32 °C, consistent with climatological averages near 30 °C for the period and current observational trends showing no heatwave setup. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official guidance around 28 °C most heavily, with model consensus and the short two-day lead time supporting the market’s emphasis on this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$131Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and global models such as ECMWF show Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 25 likely reaching 27–29 °C, driven by typical late-summer high-pressure conditions that limit strong daytime heating while allowing clear skies and light winds. Seasonal cooling from mid-August peaks reduces the chance of extremes above 32 °C, consistent with climatological averages near 30 °C for the period and current observational trends showing no heatwave setup. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official guidance around 28 °C most heavily, with model consensus and the short two-day lead time supporting the market’s emphasis on this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$131Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and global models such as ECMWF show Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 25 likely reaching 27–29 °C, driven by typical late-summer high-pressure conditions that limit strong daytime heating while allowing clear skies and light winds. Seasonal cooling from mid-August peaks reduces the chance of extremes above 32 °C, consistent with climatological averages near 30 °C for the period and current observational trends showing no heatwave setup. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of official guidance around 28 °C most heavily, with model consensus and the short two-day lead time supporting the market’s emphasis on this narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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