Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and international ensembles point to a cooling trend on August 24, with Madrid daytime highs most likely in the 26–28°C range after recent peaks near 33°C. Increased southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and a 20–30% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to limit solar heating and suppress the thermal maximum, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27–29°C outcomes. These conditions follow typical late-summer variability in the Iberian high-pressure regime and contrast with earlier August warmth. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 24 agosto?
27°C 46%
28°C 30%
26°C 14%
29°C 9%
NUOVO
$17,014 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,014 Vol.
24 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
46%
28°C
30%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 46%
28°C 30%
26°C 14%
29°C 9%
NUOVO
$17,014 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,014 Vol.
24 ago 2026
23°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$434 Vol.
1%
25°C
$626 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,104 Vol.
14%
27°C
$2,169 Vol.
46%
28°C
$5,321 Vol.
30%
29°C
$3,574 Vol.
9%
30°C
$1,400 Vol.
4%
31°C
$170 Vol.
1%
32°C
$348 Vol.
<1%
33°C o superiore
$495 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and international ensembles point to a cooling trend on August 24, with Madrid daytime highs most likely in the 26–28°C range after recent peaks near 33°C. Increased southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and a 20–30% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to limit solar heating and suppress the thermal maximum, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27–29°C outcomes. These conditions follow typical late-summer variability in the Iberian high-pressure regime and contrast with earlier August warmth. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,014Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and international ensembles point to a cooling trend on August 24, with Madrid daytime highs most likely in the 26–28°C range after recent peaks near 33°C. Increased southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and a 20–30% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to limit solar heating and suppress the thermal maximum, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27–29°C outcomes. These conditions follow typical late-summer variability in the Iberian high-pressure regime and contrast with earlier August warmth. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,014Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and international ensembles point to a cooling trend on August 24, with Madrid daytime highs most likely in the 26–28°C range after recent peaks near 33°C. Increased southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and a 20–30% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to limit solar heating and suppress the thermal maximum, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27–29°C outcomes. These conditions follow typical late-summer variability in the Iberian high-pressure regime and contrast with earlier August warmth. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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