Official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and international models project a daytime high near 32°C for Madrid on August 23 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology showing typical peaks of 30–33°C. Trader consensus favoring 34°C (57.5%) over 33°C (36%) reflects uncertainty around exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and minor model spreads in boundary-layer warming. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have sustained above-average temperatures without significant cooling advection, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C at just 3.5% implied probability while capping upside beyond 35°C. Updated observations through midday will refine resolution odds ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 23 agosto?
34°C 57%
33°C 36%
35°C 4%
32°C 4%
$22,001 Vol.
$22,001 Vol.
23 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
36%
34°C
57%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 57%
33°C 36%
35°C 4%
32°C 4%
$22,001 Vol.
$22,001 Vol.
23 ago 2026
29°C or below
$1,774 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,175 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,471 Vol.
4%
33°C
$3,613 Vol.
36%
34°C
$6,414 Vol.
57%
35°C
$3,291 Vol.
4%
36°C
$943 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and international models project a daytime high near 32°C for Madrid on August 23 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology showing typical peaks of 30–33°C. Trader consensus favoring 34°C (57.5%) over 33°C (36%) reflects uncertainty around exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and minor model spreads in boundary-layer warming. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have sustained above-average temperatures without significant cooling advection, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C at just 3.5% implied probability while capping upside beyond 35°C. Updated observations through midday will refine resolution odds ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$22,001Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and international models project a daytime high near 32°C for Madrid on August 23 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology showing typical peaks of 30–33°C. Trader consensus favoring 34°C (57.5%) over 33°C (36%) reflects uncertainty around exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and minor model spreads in boundary-layer warming. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have sustained above-average temperatures without significant cooling advection, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C at just 3.5% implied probability while capping upside beyond 35°C. Updated observations through midday will refine resolution odds ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,001Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and international models project a daytime high near 32°C for Madrid on August 23 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology showing typical peaks of 30–33°C. Trader consensus favoring 34°C (57.5%) over 33°C (36%) reflects uncertainty around exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and minor model spreads in boundary-layer warming. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have sustained above-average temperatures without significant cooling advection, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C at just 3.5% implied probability while capping upside beyond 35°C. Updated observations through midday will refine resolution odds ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti