**Traders' strong consensus around a 37°C high for Chongqing on August 23 stems from official forecasts by the Chongqing Meteorological Station showing daytime maxima of 37–39°C across most districts, with a high-temperature orange warning issued for low-elevation areas reaching that range.** Recent observations confirm sustained heat, with multiple districts exceeding 37°C on August 22 (peak 38.8°C) under mostly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Model guidance and current surface conditions, including dew points near 23–25°C and light winds, favor peak readings near 37°C in central stations, consistent with the month’s climatological August average highs around 31°C but elevated by the ongoing warm spell. Afternoon scattered showers or thunderstorms could provide localized cooling and cap the maximum below forecast values, while any delay in convective development or stronger insolation might push readings to 38°C or higher.