Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and ensemble models converge on a daytime maximum of 34–35°C for August 23, 2026, supported by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds, and a 40–60% chance of scattered showers that cap surface heating. High humidity near 65–70% will elevate heat indices, yet increased cloud cover and precipitation limit the stronger warming seen on prior days, aligning with late-August climatology for the region. Trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for 35°C reflects this model agreement and recent analogous days resolving near the same threshold. A clearer sky or delayed rain could allow brief spikes toward 36°C, while heavier convection might cap the high at 34°C or below, though current guidance makes these shifts unlikely before official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 23 agosto?
35°C 99.4%
36°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$29,412 Vol.
$29,412 Vol.
23 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.4%
36°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$29,412 Vol.
$29,412 Vol.
23 ago 2026
28°C or below
$251 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$970 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,927 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,492 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$6,529 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$5,610 Vol.
99%
36°C
$4,328 Vol.
1%
37°C
$4,958 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,745 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and ensemble models converge on a daytime maximum of 34–35°C for August 23, 2026, supported by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds, and a 40–60% chance of scattered showers that cap surface heating. High humidity near 65–70% will elevate heat indices, yet increased cloud cover and precipitation limit the stronger warming seen on prior days, aligning with late-August climatology for the region. Trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for 35°C reflects this model agreement and recent analogous days resolving near the same threshold. A clearer sky or delayed rain could allow brief spikes toward 36°C, while heavier convection might cap the high at 34°C or below, though current guidance makes these shifts unlikely before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$29,412Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and ensemble models converge on a daytime maximum of 34–35°C for August 23, 2026, supported by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds, and a 40–60% chance of scattered showers that cap surface heating. High humidity near 65–70% will elevate heat indices, yet increased cloud cover and precipitation limit the stronger warming seen on prior days, aligning with late-August climatology for the region. Trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for 35°C reflects this model agreement and recent analogous days resolving near the same threshold. A clearer sky or delayed rain could allow brief spikes toward 36°C, while heavier convection might cap the high at 34°C or below, though current guidance makes these shifts unlikely before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,412Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and ensemble models converge on a daytime maximum of 34–35°C for August 23, 2026, supported by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds, and a 40–60% chance of scattered showers that cap surface heating. High humidity near 65–70% will elevate heat indices, yet increased cloud cover and precipitation limit the stronger warming seen on prior days, aligning with late-August climatology for the region. Trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for 35°C reflects this model agreement and recent analogous days resolving near the same threshold. A clearer sky or delayed rain could allow brief spikes toward 36°C, while heavier convection might cap the high at 34°C or below, though current guidance makes these shifts unlikely before official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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