Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the Los Angeles area confirmed a daily high of 82–83°F on August 22, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Recent model runs and surface analyses showed stable marine-layer influence and modest onshore flow that suppressed further warming, aligning with climatological norms for late-August coastal basins. Traders assigned negligible odds to adjacent ranges because post-event data releases eliminate forecast uncertainty and leave little room for revision under standard resolution criteria. Only an unprecedented station-specific anomaly or official data correction would shift the outcome, scenarios viewed as statistically remote given multiple verifying reports.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 22 agosto?
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F o inferiore <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$131,335 Vol.
$131,335 Vol.
22 ago 2026
73°F o inferiore
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o superiore
<1%
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F o inferiore <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$131,335 Vol.
$131,335 Vol.
22 ago 2026
73°F o inferiore
$8,342 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$9,926 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$15,306 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$21,469 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$30,268 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$19,053 Vol.
100%
84-85°F
$8,057 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$5,859 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$6,305 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$4,798 Vol.
<1%
92°F o superiore
$1,951 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the Los Angeles area confirmed a daily high of 82–83°F on August 22, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Recent model runs and surface analyses showed stable marine-layer influence and modest onshore flow that suppressed further warming, aligning with climatological norms for late-August coastal basins. Traders assigned negligible odds to adjacent ranges because post-event data releases eliminate forecast uncertainty and leave little room for revision under standard resolution criteria. Only an unprecedented station-specific anomaly or official data correction would shift the outcome, scenarios viewed as statistically remote given multiple verifying reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$131,335Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the Los Angeles area confirmed a daily high of 82–83°F on August 22, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Recent model runs and surface analyses showed stable marine-layer influence and modest onshore flow that suppressed further warming, aligning with climatological norms for late-August coastal basins. Traders assigned negligible odds to adjacent ranges because post-event data releases eliminate forecast uncertainty and leave little room for revision under standard resolution criteria. Only an unprecedented station-specific anomaly or official data correction would shift the outcome, scenarios viewed as statistically remote given multiple verifying reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$131,335Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the Los Angeles area confirmed a daily high of 82–83°F on August 22, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Recent model runs and surface analyses showed stable marine-layer influence and modest onshore flow that suppressed further warming, aligning with climatological norms for late-August coastal basins. Traders assigned negligible odds to adjacent ranges because post-event data releases eliminate forecast uncertainty and leave little room for revision under standard resolution criteria. Only an unprecedented station-specific anomaly or official data correction would shift the outcome, scenarios viewed as statistically remote given multiple verifying reports.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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