Marine-layer moisture and persistent onshore southwest winds near 15 mph are moderating peak heating in Los Angeles for August 24, anchoring trader consensus around the 82–85°F bins that together exceed 60% implied probability. NOAA station measurements at Los Angeles International Airport incorporate these coastal influences, which limit inland-style warming and produce tight model spreads across ensembles. Subtle variations in marine-layer depth, wind timing, and afternoon cloud cover distinguish the closely matched 82–83°F versus 84–85°F outcomes, while historical August averages near 84°F provide context for the narrow distribution. Updated National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will refine the final reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 24 agosto?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 9%
75°F o inferiore
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F o superiore
<1%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 9%
75°F o inferiore
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine-layer moisture and persistent onshore southwest winds near 15 mph are moderating peak heating in Los Angeles for August 24, anchoring trader consensus around the 82–85°F bins that together exceed 60% implied probability. NOAA station measurements at Los Angeles International Airport incorporate these coastal influences, which limit inland-style warming and produce tight model spreads across ensembles. Subtle variations in marine-layer depth, wind timing, and afternoon cloud cover distinguish the closely matched 82–83°F versus 84–85°F outcomes, while historical August averages near 84°F provide context for the narrow distribution. Updated National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will refine the final reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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