**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C low for Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, reflecting model agreement and recent observations in a humid subtropical monsoon pattern.** Forecasts from multiple sources consistently project overnight lows of 27–28°C, with high humidity near 85–96% and widespread cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Typical August climatology supports this, as average lows hover around 25–28°C amid frequent rainfall that further stabilizes temperatures. The market-implied 90% probability on 28°C aligns with current conditions showing minimal diurnal range, with early-morning readings already near or above this threshold. A stronger-than-expected break in clouds or an atypical surge of drier air could allow brief dips toward 26–27°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent monsoon moisture and steering patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 23 agosto?
28°C 90.1%
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
$23,037 Vol.
$23,037 Vol.
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
9%
28°C
90%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 90.1%
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
$23,037 Vol.
$23,037 Vol.
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$110 Vol.
2%
25°C
$85 Vol.
2%
26°C
$89 Vol.
7%
27°C
$127 Vol.
9%
28°C
$6,148 Vol.
90%
29°C
$12,788 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,104 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$334 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C low for Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, reflecting model agreement and recent observations in a humid subtropical monsoon pattern.** Forecasts from multiple sources consistently project overnight lows of 27–28°C, with high humidity near 85–96% and widespread cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Typical August climatology supports this, as average lows hover around 25–28°C amid frequent rainfall that further stabilizes temperatures. The market-implied 90% probability on 28°C aligns with current conditions showing minimal diurnal range, with early-morning readings already near or above this threshold. A stronger-than-expected break in clouds or an atypical surge of drier air could allow brief dips toward 26–27°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent monsoon moisture and steering patterns.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$23,037Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C low for Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, reflecting model agreement and recent observations in a humid subtropical monsoon pattern.** Forecasts from multiple sources consistently project overnight lows of 27–28°C, with high humidity near 85–96% and widespread cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Typical August climatology supports this, as average lows hover around 25–28°C amid frequent rainfall that further stabilizes temperatures. The market-implied 90% probability on 28°C aligns with current conditions showing minimal diurnal range, with early-morning readings already near or above this threshold. A stronger-than-expected break in clouds or an atypical surge of drier air could allow brief dips toward 26–27°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent monsoon moisture and steering patterns.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,037Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C low for Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, reflecting model agreement and recent observations in a humid subtropical monsoon pattern.** Forecasts from multiple sources consistently project overnight lows of 27–28°C, with high humidity near 85–96% and widespread cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Typical August climatology supports this, as average lows hover around 25–28°C amid frequent rainfall that further stabilizes temperatures. The market-implied 90% probability on 28°C aligns with current conditions showing minimal diurnal range, with early-morning readings already near or above this threshold. A stronger-than-expected break in clouds or an atypical surge of drier air could allow brief dips toward 26–27°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent monsoon moisture and steering patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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