Subtropical monsoon conditions in Shenzhen during late August typically produce nighttime lows near 26°C, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly between 25°C and 27°C reflecting model uncertainty in exact radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity near 80%, scattered thundershowers, and variable cloud cover are key variables: thicker overnight clouds reduce heat loss while timely rain can enhance evaporative cooling or maintain warmer boundary layers. Recent regional forecasts show daytime highs around 32°C with overcast skies and afternoon convection, limiting diurnal temperature swings. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs will refine the minimum before resolution, as steering patterns from any distant tropical systems could shift moisture and wind overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 24 agosto?
27°C 45%
25°C 43%
28°C 25%
23°C 24%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
24%
24°C
8%
25°C
43%
26°C
12%
27°C
45%
28°C
25%
29°C
13%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
12%
27°C 45%
25°C 43%
28°C 25%
23°C 24%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
24%
24°C
8%
25°C
43%
26°C
12%
27°C
45%
28°C
25%
29°C
13%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Subtropical monsoon conditions in Shenzhen during late August typically produce nighttime lows near 26°C, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly between 25°C and 27°C reflecting model uncertainty in exact radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity near 80%, scattered thundershowers, and variable cloud cover are key variables: thicker overnight clouds reduce heat loss while timely rain can enhance evaporative cooling or maintain warmer boundary layers. Recent regional forecasts show daytime highs around 32°C with overcast skies and afternoon convection, limiting diurnal temperature swings. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs will refine the minimum before resolution, as steering patterns from any distant tropical systems could shift moisture and wind overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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