Recent model consensus from regional forecasts indicates Shanghai’s overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 26–27 °C, reflecting the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity have limited nocturnal radiative cooling across the Yangtze River Delta, keeping minimum temperatures close to the mid-August climatological average of 26–27 °C. Short-range guidance shows partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and isolated showers, conditions that suppress further temperature drops. Updated runs through August 23 confirm no significant frontal passage or stronger northerly winds before the 25th that would allow a dip to 25 °C or below. Traders are therefore weighting the 27 °C and 26 °C bins most heavily, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band typical of 48-hour temperature forecasts in this season.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 25 agosto?
27°C 44%
26°C 18%
28°C 15%
24°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
10%
26°C
18%
27°C
44%
28°C
15%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 44%
26°C 18%
28°C 15%
24°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
5%
24°C
$10 Vol.
10%
25°C
$5 Vol.
10%
26°C
$416 Vol.
18%
27°C
$14 Vol.
44%
28°C
$7 Vol.
15%
29°C
$10 Vol.
10%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts indicates Shanghai’s overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 26–27 °C, reflecting the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity have limited nocturnal radiative cooling across the Yangtze River Delta, keeping minimum temperatures close to the mid-August climatological average of 26–27 °C. Short-range guidance shows partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and isolated showers, conditions that suppress further temperature drops. Updated runs through August 23 confirm no significant frontal passage or stronger northerly winds before the 25th that would allow a dip to 25 °C or below. Traders are therefore weighting the 27 °C and 26 °C bins most heavily, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band typical of 48-hour temperature forecasts in this season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$492Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts indicates Shanghai’s overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 26–27 °C, reflecting the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity have limited nocturnal radiative cooling across the Yangtze River Delta, keeping minimum temperatures close to the mid-August climatological average of 26–27 °C. Short-range guidance shows partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and isolated showers, conditions that suppress further temperature drops. Updated runs through August 23 confirm no significant frontal passage or stronger northerly winds before the 25th that would allow a dip to 25 °C or below. Traders are therefore weighting the 27 °C and 26 °C bins most heavily, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band typical of 48-hour temperature forecasts in this season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$492Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional forecasts indicates Shanghai’s overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 26–27 °C, reflecting the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity have limited nocturnal radiative cooling across the Yangtze River Delta, keeping minimum temperatures close to the mid-August climatological average of 26–27 °C. Short-range guidance shows partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and isolated showers, conditions that suppress further temperature drops. Updated runs through August 23 confirm no significant frontal passage or stronger northerly winds before the 25th that would allow a dip to 25 °C or below. Traders are therefore weighting the 27 °C and 26 °C bins most heavily, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band typical of 48-hour temperature forecasts in this season.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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