Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 25, 2026, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered showers are expected to limit intense solar heating while maintaining high humidity and dew points near 25–27°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 30–31°C. Recent typhoon influences and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than supporting extremes above 33°C or below 30°C. Traders are weighing the inherent uncertainty in short-range guidance, with new observational data and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 25 agosto?
31°C 44%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
33°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
44%
32°C
32%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 44%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
33°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
44%
32°C
32%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 25, 2026, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered showers are expected to limit intense solar heating while maintaining high humidity and dew points near 25–27°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 30–31°C. Recent typhoon influences and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than supporting extremes above 33°C or below 30°C. Traders are weighing the inherent uncertainty in short-range guidance, with new observational data and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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