Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources show Beijing transitioning from recent highs near 33–34°C on August 24–25 to cooler conditions on the 26th, driven by a cold front and widespread thunderstorms that enhance cloud cover, increase humidity, and limit solar heating. Northerly winds are expected to advect cooler air, with consensus highs clustered between 24–28°C amid precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. This produces the tight 18.5% odds on 25–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could alter the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August averages near 29.6°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors suppression below that baseline. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Pechino il 26 agosto?
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
15%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
13%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
6%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
20°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
11%
25°C
$8 Vol.
15%
26°C
$6 Vol.
28%
27°C
$6 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$141 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources show Beijing transitioning from recent highs near 33–34°C on August 24–25 to cooler conditions on the 26th, driven by a cold front and widespread thunderstorms that enhance cloud cover, increase humidity, and limit solar heating. Northerly winds are expected to advect cooler air, with consensus highs clustered between 24–28°C amid precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. This produces the tight 18.5% odds on 25–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could alter the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August averages near 29.6°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors suppression below that baseline. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$143Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources show Beijing transitioning from recent highs near 33–34°C on August 24–25 to cooler conditions on the 26th, driven by a cold front and widespread thunderstorms that enhance cloud cover, increase humidity, and limit solar heating. Northerly winds are expected to advect cooler air, with consensus highs clustered between 24–28°C amid precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. This produces the tight 18.5% odds on 25–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could alter the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August averages near 29.6°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors suppression below that baseline. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$143Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources show Beijing transitioning from recent highs near 33–34°C on August 24–25 to cooler conditions on the 26th, driven by a cold front and widespread thunderstorms that enhance cloud cover, increase humidity, and limit solar heating. Northerly winds are expected to advect cooler air, with consensus highs clustered between 24–28°C amid precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. This produces the tight 18.5% odds on 25–29°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could alter the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August averages near 29.6°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors suppression below that baseline. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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