Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 23 project a high near 91–92°F under mostly sunny morning conditions before afternoon convective development, aligning with the market’s 57.5% implied probability on the 92–93°F bin and 31% on 90–91°F. Typical August climatology (average high ~89°F, daily range rarely exceeding 92°F) supports these outcomes, while sea-breeze convergence and thunderstorm timing introduce uncertainty that caps upside potential above 94°F. Persistent heat and humidity, with heat indices exceeding 105°F, reinforce trader focus on these narrow bands ahead of final observations from Miami International Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 23 agosto?
92-93°F 57%
90-91°F 31%
94-95°F 6%
88-89°F 5%
$12,664 Vol.
$12,664 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
57%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
1%
98°F o superiore
1%
92-93°F 57%
90-91°F 31%
94-95°F 6%
88-89°F 5%
$12,664 Vol.
$12,664 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
57%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
1%
98°F o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 23 project a high near 91–92°F under mostly sunny morning conditions before afternoon convective development, aligning with the market’s 57.5% implied probability on the 92–93°F bin and 31% on 90–91°F. Typical August climatology (average high ~89°F, daily range rarely exceeding 92°F) supports these outcomes, while sea-breeze convergence and thunderstorm timing introduce uncertainty that caps upside potential above 94°F. Persistent heat and humidity, with heat indices exceeding 105°F, reinforce trader focus on these narrow bands ahead of final observations from Miami International Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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