Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature near 32–33°C for Tokyo on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37.5% implied probability. Persistent humidity, limited solar insolation from cloud cover, and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap the daily high or allow brief spikes toward 34°C. With 32°C and 33°C outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting model consensus against historical August baselines around 31°C, while monitoring updated JMA guidance and observational data releases for any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 24 agosto?
32°C 43%
33°C 33%
31°C 14%
34°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
43%
33°C
33%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 43%
33°C 33%
31°C 14%
34°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
25°C or below
$1,424 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$909 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,077 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$285 Vol.
1%
29°C
$547 Vol.
2%
30°C
$438 Vol.
6%
31°C
$2,058 Vol.
14%
32°C
$559 Vol.
43%
33°C
$849 Vol.
33%
34°C
$1,206 Vol.
8%
35°C or higher
$202 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature near 32–33°C for Tokyo on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37.5% implied probability. Persistent humidity, limited solar insolation from cloud cover, and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap the daily high or allow brief spikes toward 34°C. With 32°C and 33°C outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting model consensus against historical August baselines around 31°C, while monitoring updated JMA guidance and observational data releases for any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,554Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature near 32–33°C for Tokyo on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37.5% implied probability. Persistent humidity, limited solar insolation from cloud cover, and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap the daily high or allow brief spikes toward 34°C. With 32°C and 33°C outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting model consensus against historical August baselines around 31°C, while monitoring updated JMA guidance and observational data releases for any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,554Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature near 32–33°C for Tokyo on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37.5% implied probability. Persistent humidity, limited solar insolation from cloud cover, and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap the daily high or allow brief spikes toward 34°C. With 32°C and 33°C outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting model consensus against historical August baselines around 31°C, while monitoring updated JMA guidance and observational data releases for any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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