**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models drive the strong market consensus around 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on August 24.** Current runs show a high-pressure ridge supporting easterly flow with daytime highs climbing from overnight lows near 15°C to peaks of 26–28°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Light precipitation chances increase later in the day, which could cap the exact peak depending on cloud timing and any convective development. This aligns closely with climatological late-August norms near 24.6°C while reflecting modest warming from recent stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh model spread and resolution criteria favoring 27°C, with 28°C as the clear secondary outcome and lower probabilities reflecting downside risks from increased cloud cover or showers. Updated model guidance overnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 24 agosto?
27°C 52%
28°C 25%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
NUOVO
$20,333 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,333 Vol.
24 ago 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
15%
27°C
52%
28°C
25%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 25%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
NUOVO
$20,333 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,333 Vol.
24 ago 2026
23°C or below
$925 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,019 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,938 Vol.
5%
26°C
$3,057 Vol.
15%
27°C
$4,226 Vol.
52%
28°C
$3,333 Vol.
25%
29°C
$2,322 Vol.
8%
30°C
$1,629 Vol.
2%
31°C
$886 Vol.
1%
32°C
$814 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$185 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models drive the strong market consensus around 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on August 24.**
Current runs show a high-pressure ridge supporting easterly flow with daytime highs climbing from overnight lows near 15°C to peaks of 26–28°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Light precipitation chances increase later in the day, which could cap the exact peak depending on cloud timing and any convective development. This aligns closely with climatological late-August norms near 24.6°C while reflecting modest warming from recent stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh model spread and resolution criteria favoring 27°C, with 28°C as the clear secondary outcome and lower probabilities reflecting downside risks from increased cloud cover or showers. Updated model guidance overnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Volume
$20,333Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models drive the strong market consensus around 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on August 24.**
Current runs show a high-pressure ridge supporting easterly flow with daytime highs climbing from overnight lows near 15°C to peaks of 26–28°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Light precipitation chances increase later in the day, which could cap the exact peak depending on cloud timing and any convective development. This aligns closely with climatological late-August norms near 24.6°C while reflecting modest warming from recent stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh model spread and resolution criteria favoring 27°C, with 28°C as the clear secondary outcome and lower probabilities reflecting downside risks from increased cloud cover or showers. Updated model guidance overnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,333Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models drive the strong market consensus around 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on August 24.** Current runs show a high-pressure ridge supporting easterly flow with daytime highs climbing from overnight lows near 15°C to peaks of 26–28°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Light precipitation chances increase later in the day, which could cap the exact peak depending on cloud timing and any convective development. This aligns closely with climatological late-August norms near 24.6°C while reflecting modest warming from recent stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh model spread and resolution criteria favoring 27°C, with 28°C as the clear secondary outcome and lower probabilities reflecting downside risks from increased cloud cover or showers. Updated model guidance overnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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