Recent official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 15-25 km/h and minimal cloud cover over Istanbul on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near 30-32°C under stable high pressure. Historical August averages hover around 29°C, but recent days have shown slight cooling from peak summer values, with dew points near 20°C limiting humidity-driven warmth. Market-implied odds favoring 28°C reflect trader emphasis on forecast spread across GFS and ECMWF runs, potential for localized measurement at official stations, and uncertainty in exact peak timing before resolution. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 24 agosto?
28°C 57%
29°C 21%
27°C 19%
30°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
57%
29°C
21%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 57%
29°C 21%
27°C 19%
30°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$228 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$315 Vol.
1%
26°C
$267 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,087 Vol.
19%
28°C
$1,615 Vol.
57%
29°C
$556 Vol.
21%
30°C
$342 Vol.
3%
31°C
$203 Vol.
1%
32°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
33°C o superiore
$855 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 15-25 km/h and minimal cloud cover over Istanbul on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near 30-32°C under stable high pressure. Historical August averages hover around 29°C, but recent days have shown slight cooling from peak summer values, with dew points near 20°C limiting humidity-driven warmth. Market-implied odds favoring 28°C reflect trader emphasis on forecast spread across GFS and ECMWF runs, potential for localized measurement at official stations, and uncertainty in exact peak timing before resolution. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,749Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 15-25 km/h and minimal cloud cover over Istanbul on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near 30-32°C under stable high pressure. Historical August averages hover around 29°C, but recent days have shown slight cooling from peak summer values, with dew points near 20°C limiting humidity-driven warmth. Market-implied odds favoring 28°C reflect trader emphasis on forecast spread across GFS and ECMWF runs, potential for localized measurement at official stations, and uncertainty in exact peak timing before resolution. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,749Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 15-25 km/h and minimal cloud cover over Istanbul on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near 30-32°C under stable high pressure. Historical August averages hover around 29°C, but recent days have shown slight cooling from peak summer values, with dew points near 20°C limiting humidity-driven warmth. Market-implied odds favoring 28°C reflect trader emphasis on forecast spread across GFS and ECMWF runs, potential for localized measurement at official stations, and uncertainty in exact peak timing before resolution. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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