Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles show modest uncertainty in tomorrow's maximum temperature over New York City, with the 80–81 °F range holding the highest implied probability because recent guidance favors slightly stronger warm advection and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of any sea-breeze front, which can cap afternoon temperatures near 78–79 °F if it arrives earlier, versus clearer skies and lighter winds that allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical August climatology places the typical daily high around 82 °F, yet current boundary-layer moisture and weak upper-level support keep the distribution tightly centered between those two leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next clear signals before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 24 agosto?
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 38%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 38%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
67°F or below
$78 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$232 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$231 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$362 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$706 Vol.
38%
80-81°F
$2,806 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$711 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$159 Vol.
4%
86°F or higher
$423 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles show modest uncertainty in tomorrow's maximum temperature over New York City, with the 80–81 °F range holding the highest implied probability because recent guidance favors slightly stronger warm advection and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of any sea-breeze front, which can cap afternoon temperatures near 78–79 °F if it arrives earlier, versus clearer skies and lighter winds that allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical August climatology places the typical daily high around 82 °F, yet current boundary-layer moisture and weak upper-level support keep the distribution tightly centered between those two leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next clear signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,864Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles show modest uncertainty in tomorrow's maximum temperature over New York City, with the 80–81 °F range holding the highest implied probability because recent guidance favors slightly stronger warm advection and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of any sea-breeze front, which can cap afternoon temperatures near 78–79 °F if it arrives earlier, versus clearer skies and lighter winds that allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical August climatology places the typical daily high around 82 °F, yet current boundary-layer moisture and weak upper-level support keep the distribution tightly centered between those two leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next clear signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,864Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles show modest uncertainty in tomorrow's maximum temperature over New York City, with the 80–81 °F range holding the highest implied probability because recent guidance favors slightly stronger warm advection and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of any sea-breeze front, which can cap afternoon temperatures near 78–79 °F if it arrives earlier, versus clearer skies and lighter winds that allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical August climatology places the typical daily high around 82 °F, yet current boundary-layer moisture and weak upper-level support keep the distribution tightly centered between those two leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will provide the next clear signals before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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