Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight minimum near 66–70°F in New York City, driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies that suppress radiational cooling, dew points in the low-to-mid 60s maintaining high humidity and limiting temperature drops, and light southerly flow advecting milder air. These conditions align with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 68–71°F ranges, while lower bins reflect only modest downside risk if clearer skies develop late. Historical August climatology for Central Park shows typical overnight lows near 67°F, providing a baseline against which current moisture and cloud trends are evaluated. Updated forecast discussions and any last model runs before resolution will determine whether traders shift further toward the 66–67°F or 70–71°F bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 23 agosto?
68-69°F 95%
66-67°F 5%
64-65°F 4%
62-63°F 1.0%
$5,403 Vol.
$5,403 Vol.
23 ago 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
95%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 95%
66-67°F 5%
64-65°F 4%
62-63°F 1.0%
$5,403 Vol.
$5,403 Vol.
23 ago 2026
59°F or below
$60 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$478 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$572 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$189 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$176 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$246 Vol.
95%
70-71°F
$1,667 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$727 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$511 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$496 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$280 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight minimum near 66–70°F in New York City, driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies that suppress radiational cooling, dew points in the low-to-mid 60s maintaining high humidity and limiting temperature drops, and light southerly flow advecting milder air. These conditions align with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 68–71°F ranges, while lower bins reflect only modest downside risk if clearer skies develop late. Historical August climatology for Central Park shows typical overnight lows near 67°F, providing a baseline against which current moisture and cloud trends are evaluated. Updated forecast discussions and any last model runs before resolution will determine whether traders shift further toward the 66–67°F or 70–71°F bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$5,403Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight minimum near 66–70°F in New York City, driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies that suppress radiational cooling, dew points in the low-to-mid 60s maintaining high humidity and limiting temperature drops, and light southerly flow advecting milder air. These conditions align with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 68–71°F ranges, while lower bins reflect only modest downside risk if clearer skies develop late. Historical August climatology for Central Park shows typical overnight lows near 67°F, providing a baseline against which current moisture and cloud trends are evaluated. Updated forecast discussions and any last model runs before resolution will determine whether traders shift further toward the 66–67°F or 70–71°F bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,403Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight minimum near 66–70°F in New York City, driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies that suppress radiational cooling, dew points in the low-to-mid 60s maintaining high humidity and limiting temperature drops, and light southerly flow advecting milder air. These conditions align with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 68–71°F ranges, while lower bins reflect only modest downside risk if clearer skies develop late. Historical August climatology for Central Park shows typical overnight lows near 67°F, providing a baseline against which current moisture and cloud trends are evaluated. Updated forecast discussions and any last model runs before resolution will determine whether traders shift further toward the 66–67°F or 70–71°F bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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