Persistent southwest monsoon flow over Luzon, reinforced by a distant low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, maintains widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila today. These conditions suppress daytime heating and limit nighttime radiative cooling, anchoring the daily minimum near 25–26 °C according to PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models. With observed temperatures already dipping to 26 °C in recent hours and little prospect for clear skies, traders see roughly equal likelihood of a 24 °C or 25 °C low; the tight spread reflects remaining model disagreement on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind-driven mixing overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Manila il 30 agosto?
25°C 49%
23°C 2%
22°C 1.9%
26°C <1%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
51%
25°C
49%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
23°C 2%
22°C 1.9%
26°C <1%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
51%
25°C
49%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow over Luzon, reinforced by a distant low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, maintains widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila today. These conditions suppress daytime heating and limit nighttime radiative cooling, anchoring the daily minimum near 25–26 °C according to PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models. With observed temperatures already dipping to 26 °C in recent hours and little prospect for clear skies, traders see roughly equal likelihood of a 24 °C or 25 °C low; the tight spread reflects remaining model disagreement on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind-driven mixing overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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