**Traders have placed near-certain weight on a 26°C high for Tokyo on August 30 because official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and real-time observations indicate limited daytime heating under cloudy, occasionally rainy conditions with light northerly to easterly winds.** Model consensus and surface data show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius as cloud cover and moisture suppress solar heating, aligning with historical late-August patterns when marine air influence keeps maxima near or slightly below seasonal normals. The 0.1% odds on 27°C or higher reflect the low probability of rapid clearing or stronger southerly flow that could allow additional warming before sunset. Resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum from the Tokyo station, with any late-day observational revision the only realistic path to shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 30 agosto?
26°C 99.9%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$68,663 Vol.
$68,663 Vol.
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.9%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$68,663 Vol.
$68,663 Vol.
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
$2,920 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,589 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,025 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$10,438 Vol.
100%
27°C
$8,725 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9,079 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,536 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,039 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,255 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,650 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$7,419 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have placed near-certain weight on a 26°C high for Tokyo on August 30 because official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and real-time observations indicate limited daytime heating under cloudy, occasionally rainy conditions with light northerly to easterly winds.** Model consensus and surface data show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius as cloud cover and moisture suppress solar heating, aligning with historical late-August patterns when marine air influence keeps maxima near or slightly below seasonal normals. The 0.1% odds on 27°C or higher reflect the low probability of rapid clearing or stronger southerly flow that could allow additional warming before sunset. Resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum from the Tokyo station, with any late-day observational revision the only realistic path to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$68,663Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have placed near-certain weight on a 26°C high for Tokyo on August 30 because official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and real-time observations indicate limited daytime heating under cloudy, occasionally rainy conditions with light northerly to easterly winds.** Model consensus and surface data show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius as cloud cover and moisture suppress solar heating, aligning with historical late-August patterns when marine air influence keeps maxima near or slightly below seasonal normals. The 0.1% odds on 27°C or higher reflect the low probability of rapid clearing or stronger southerly flow that could allow additional warming before sunset. Resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum from the Tokyo station, with any late-day observational revision the only realistic path to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$68,663Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have placed near-certain weight on a 26°C high for Tokyo on August 30 because official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and real-time observations indicate limited daytime heating under cloudy, occasionally rainy conditions with light northerly to easterly winds.** Model consensus and surface data show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius as cloud cover and moisture suppress solar heating, aligning with historical late-August patterns when marine air influence keeps maxima near or slightly below seasonal normals. The 0.1% odds on 27°C or higher reflect the low probability of rapid clearing or stronger southerly flow that could allow additional warming before sunset. Resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum from the Tokyo station, with any late-day observational revision the only realistic path to shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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