Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and international models, including those aligned with NOAA and regional analyses, indicate a maximum temperature of 33°C on August 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with limited solar insolation and light winds. This aligns with post-heatwave patterns in late August, where scattered showers and higher humidity suppress peaks below earlier summer levels averaging near 34°C. Trader consensus at 100% on 33°C reflects strong model agreement on these atmospheric conditions. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and stronger subsidence to boost surface heating, though current observational data and short-term model runs show low probability of exceeding the threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 30 agosto?
33°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$50,410 Vol.
$50,410 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$50,410 Vol.
$50,410 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and international models, including those aligned with NOAA and regional analyses, indicate a maximum temperature of 33°C on August 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with limited solar insolation and light winds. This aligns with post-heatwave patterns in late August, where scattered showers and higher humidity suppress peaks below earlier summer levels averaging near 34°C. Trader consensus at 100% on 33°C reflects strong model agreement on these atmospheric conditions. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and stronger subsidence to boost surface heating, though current observational data and short-term model runs show low probability of exceeding the threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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