Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Chicago O’Hare indicate a high near 90–92°F on September 1, driven by a persistent warm, humid southerly flow and elevated heat indices ahead of a modest frontal passage. This places the most likely daily maximum squarely in the 90–91°F bin that currently leads market-implied odds at 42.5 percent, with 88–89°F and 92–93°F as the next most probable outcomes. The expected values sit well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 81°F, reflecting the lingering late-summer ridge and above-normal temperatures projected by the Climate Prediction Center for early September. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily while monitoring any final model runs for shifts in the thermal ridge or convective timing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 1° settembre?
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 26%
92-93°F 21%
86-87°F 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
81°F o inferiore
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
17%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F o superiore
<1%
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 26%
92-93°F 21%
86-87°F 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
81°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
19%
88-89°F
$26 Vol.
26%
90-91°F
$70 Vol.
43%
92-93°F
$125 Vol.
21%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
17%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
100°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Chicago O’Hare indicate a high near 90–92°F on September 1, driven by a persistent warm, humid southerly flow and elevated heat indices ahead of a modest frontal passage. This places the most likely daily maximum squarely in the 90–91°F bin that currently leads market-implied odds at 42.5 percent, with 88–89°F and 92–93°F as the next most probable outcomes. The expected values sit well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 81°F, reflecting the lingering late-summer ridge and above-normal temperatures projected by the Climate Prediction Center for early September. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily while monitoring any final model runs for shifts in the thermal ridge or convective timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$221Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Chicago O’Hare indicate a high near 90–92°F on September 1, driven by a persistent warm, humid southerly flow and elevated heat indices ahead of a modest frontal passage. This places the most likely daily maximum squarely in the 90–91°F bin that currently leads market-implied odds at 42.5 percent, with 88–89°F and 92–93°F as the next most probable outcomes. The expected values sit well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 81°F, reflecting the lingering late-summer ridge and above-normal temperatures projected by the Climate Prediction Center for early September. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily while monitoring any final model runs for shifts in the thermal ridge or convective timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$221Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Chicago O’Hare indicate a high near 90–92°F on September 1, driven by a persistent warm, humid southerly flow and elevated heat indices ahead of a modest frontal passage. This places the most likely daily maximum squarely in the 90–91°F bin that currently leads market-implied odds at 42.5 percent, with 88–89°F and 92–93°F as the next most probable outcomes. The expected values sit well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 81°F, reflecting the lingering late-summer ridge and above-normal temperatures projected by the Climate Prediction Center for early September. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily while monitoring any final model runs for shifts in the thermal ridge or convective timing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti