Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare recorded a daily maximum of exactly 81°F on August 29, 2026, reached at 3:16 p.m. CDT and matching the 1991–2020 climatological normal with zero departure. Pre-event model guidance and National Weather Service forecasts consistently projected a high in the lower 80s under partly cloudy skies with light southwest flow, producing no significant warm or cool anomalies. This alignment between real-time forecasts, historical normals, and the final verified reading drove the market’s 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin. The only realistic challenges would involve an unusually large post-publication data revision at the primary station or a market-resolution rule that privileges a secondary Chicago-area site reporting a meaningfully different value, both of which remain statistically rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 29 agosto?
80-81°F 100.0%
$23,122 Vol.
$23,122 Vol.
29 ago 2026
80-81°F
100%
80-81°F 100.0%
$23,122 Vol.
$23,122 Vol.
29 ago 2026
80-81°F
$4,787 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare recorded a daily maximum of exactly 81°F on August 29, 2026, reached at 3:16 p.m. CDT and matching the 1991–2020 climatological normal with zero departure. Pre-event model guidance and National Weather Service forecasts consistently projected a high in the lower 80s under partly cloudy skies with light southwest flow, producing no significant warm or cool anomalies. This alignment between real-time forecasts, historical normals, and the final verified reading drove the market’s 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin. The only realistic challenges would involve an unusually large post-publication data revision at the primary station or a market-resolution rule that privileges a secondary Chicago-area site reporting a meaningfully different value, both of which remain statistically rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$23,122Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare recorded a daily maximum of exactly 81°F on August 29, 2026, reached at 3:16 p.m. CDT and matching the 1991–2020 climatological normal with zero departure. Pre-event model guidance and National Weather Service forecasts consistently projected a high in the lower 80s under partly cloudy skies with light southwest flow, producing no significant warm or cool anomalies. This alignment between real-time forecasts, historical normals, and the final verified reading drove the market’s 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin. The only realistic challenges would involve an unusually large post-publication data revision at the primary station or a market-resolution rule that privileges a secondary Chicago-area site reporting a meaningfully different value, both of which remain statistically rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,122Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare recorded a daily maximum of exactly 81°F on August 29, 2026, reached at 3:16 p.m. CDT and matching the 1991–2020 climatological normal with zero departure. Pre-event model guidance and National Weather Service forecasts consistently projected a high in the lower 80s under partly cloudy skies with light southwest flow, producing no significant warm or cool anomalies. This alignment between real-time forecasts, historical normals, and the final verified reading drove the market’s 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin. The only realistic challenges would involve an unusually large post-publication data revision at the primary station or a market-resolution rule that privileges a secondary Chicago-area site reporting a meaningfully different value, both of which remain statistically rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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