Official observations from the National Weather Service at Chicago O'Hare confirm a minimum temperature of 65°F on August 29, 2026, recorded at 5:51 a.m. local time under clear conditions with light winds and dew points supporting efficient nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with the 64-65°F outcome, driving the market-implied probability to 100% as traders incorporate verified station data rather than models or forecasts. The reading sits slightly above the 1991-2020 normal low of 63°F, consistent with a mild late-summer air mass lacking strong radiational cooling or cold advection. A realistic challenge would require a documented revision to the official climate summary or a switch to an alternate station reading outside the resolution criteria, though post-event verification makes such adjustments highly improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 29 agosto?
64-65°F 100.0%
$1,649 Vol.
$1,649 Vol.
29 ago 2026
64-65°F
100%
64-65°F 100.0%
$1,649 Vol.
$1,649 Vol.
29 ago 2026
64-65°F
$242 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Chicago O'Hare confirm a minimum temperature of 65°F on August 29, 2026, recorded at 5:51 a.m. local time under clear conditions with light winds and dew points supporting efficient nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with the 64-65°F outcome, driving the market-implied probability to 100% as traders incorporate verified station data rather than models or forecasts. The reading sits slightly above the 1991-2020 normal low of 63°F, consistent with a mild late-summer air mass lacking strong radiational cooling or cold advection. A realistic challenge would require a documented revision to the official climate summary or a switch to an alternate station reading outside the resolution criteria, though post-event verification makes such adjustments highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,649Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Chicago O'Hare confirm a minimum temperature of 65°F on August 29, 2026, recorded at 5:51 a.m. local time under clear conditions with light winds and dew points supporting efficient nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with the 64-65°F outcome, driving the market-implied probability to 100% as traders incorporate verified station data rather than models or forecasts. The reading sits slightly above the 1991-2020 normal low of 63°F, consistent with a mild late-summer air mass lacking strong radiational cooling or cold advection. A realistic challenge would require a documented revision to the official climate summary or a switch to an alternate station reading outside the resolution criteria, though post-event verification makes such adjustments highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,649Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the National Weather Service at Chicago O'Hare confirm a minimum temperature of 65°F on August 29, 2026, recorded at 5:51 a.m. local time under clear conditions with light winds and dew points supporting efficient nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with the 64-65°F outcome, driving the market-implied probability to 100% as traders incorporate verified station data rather than models or forecasts. The reading sits slightly above the 1991-2020 normal low of 63°F, consistent with a mild late-summer air mass lacking strong radiational cooling or cold advection. A realistic challenge would require a documented revision to the official climate summary or a switch to an alternate station reading outside the resolution criteria, though post-event verification makes such adjustments highly improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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