Trader consensus on Chicago’s August 30 overnight low centers on the low-to-mid 70s °F because persistent southerly flow and a warm, humid air mass are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling at O’Hare. Official NWS guidance issued early on the 30th calls for mostly cloudy skies, a slight shower chance, and a low near 70–72 °F, consistent with recent model runs showing minimal temperature drop despite light winds. This setup keeps readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 64 °F and well clear of the sub-68 °F bins that would require an unseasonal cold-air intrusion. With the day’s minimum expected to occur before sunrise and no major frontal passage imminent, the tightly bunched 66–73 °F outcomes reflect modest uncertainty around exact cloud cover and wind mixing rather than any fundamental shift in the synoptic pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 30 agosto?
70-71°F 39%
66-67°F 39%
68-69°F 38%
64-65°F 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
63°F o inferiore
7%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 39%
66-67°F 39%
68-69°F 38%
64-65°F 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
63°F o inferiore
$119 Vol.
7%
64-65°F
$26 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
39%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
38%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
39%
72-73°F
$48 Vol.
38%
74-75°F
$192 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$117 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$42 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
82°F o superiore
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Chicago’s August 30 overnight low centers on the low-to-mid 70s °F because persistent southerly flow and a warm, humid air mass are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling at O’Hare. Official NWS guidance issued early on the 30th calls for mostly cloudy skies, a slight shower chance, and a low near 70–72 °F, consistent with recent model runs showing minimal temperature drop despite light winds. This setup keeps readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 64 °F and well clear of the sub-68 °F bins that would require an unseasonal cold-air intrusion. With the day’s minimum expected to occur before sunrise and no major frontal passage imminent, the tightly bunched 66–73 °F outcomes reflect modest uncertainty around exact cloud cover and wind mixing rather than any fundamental shift in the synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$637Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Chicago’s August 30 overnight low centers on the low-to-mid 70s °F because persistent southerly flow and a warm, humid air mass are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling at O’Hare. Official NWS guidance issued early on the 30th calls for mostly cloudy skies, a slight shower chance, and a low near 70–72 °F, consistent with recent model runs showing minimal temperature drop despite light winds. This setup keeps readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 64 °F and well clear of the sub-68 °F bins that would require an unseasonal cold-air intrusion. With the day’s minimum expected to occur before sunrise and no major frontal passage imminent, the tightly bunched 66–73 °F outcomes reflect modest uncertainty around exact cloud cover and wind mixing rather than any fundamental shift in the synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$637Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Chicago’s August 30 overnight low centers on the low-to-mid 70s °F because persistent southerly flow and a warm, humid air mass are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling at O’Hare. Official NWS guidance issued early on the 30th calls for mostly cloudy skies, a slight shower chance, and a low near 70–72 °F, consistent with recent model runs showing minimal temperature drop despite light winds. This setup keeps readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 64 °F and well clear of the sub-68 °F bins that would require an unseasonal cold-air intrusion. With the day’s minimum expected to occur before sunrise and no major frontal passage imminent, the tightly bunched 66–73 °F outcomes reflect modest uncertainty around exact cloud cover and wind mixing rather than any fundamental shift in the synoptic pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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