**Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau project a daily maximum of 31°C in the urban core on August 30, 2026, under predominantly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers possible in southern districts.** Recent rainfall on August 29 suppressed highs below 30°C across most areas, and the lingering moisture combined with reduced insolation from cloud cover is preventing stronger rebound despite the subtropical high-pressure influence. Numerical weather models align with station observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, where the resolution source (NOAA or secondary Weather Underground data) is expected to record a peak near this threshold. Historical August averages of 33–35°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors moderation. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects this forecast consensus, though an earlier or more extensive clearing of clouds could allow brief additional warming above the threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 30 agosto?
31°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$50,271 Vol.
$50,271 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$50,271 Vol.
$50,271 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau project a daily maximum of 31°C in the urban core on August 30, 2026, under predominantly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers possible in southern districts.** Recent rainfall on August 29 suppressed highs below 30°C across most areas, and the lingering moisture combined with reduced insolation from cloud cover is preventing stronger rebound despite the subtropical high-pressure influence. Numerical weather models align with station observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, where the resolution source (NOAA or secondary Weather Underground data) is expected to record a peak near this threshold. Historical August averages of 33–35°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors moderation. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects this forecast consensus, though an earlier or more extensive clearing of clouds could allow brief additional warming above the threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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